Russia · Premier League

Lokomotiv vs Akhmat

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Jul 26

📊 Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)

55% confidence

Lokomotiv 20.0% Draw 25.0% Akhmat 55.0%

Over 2.5 - 47% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Akhmat stronger form

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 20%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Akhmat away strength

80%

Over 1.5 Goals

Both teams scoring

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Lokomotiv has a form gap with Akhmat, who shows stronger away performance. Akhmat's attacking threat is significant, while Lokomotiv's defensive strength is questionable. The absence of N. Komlichenko due to a knee injury affects Lokomotiv. With Akhmat's recent unbeaten streak, they have the upper hand.

💡

Top Tip

Akhmat is likely to win or draw against Lokomotiv

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lokomotiv win20.0%

Draw25.0%

Akhmat win55.0%

Over 1.5 goals73.6%

Over 2.5 goals46.9%

Over 3.5 goals25.2%

Both teams to score45.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

88.5%

Draw or Away (X2)

84.3%

Away Team to Score

83.1%

Under 5.5 Goals95.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.4%

Over 0.5 Goals92.1%

Under 4.5 Goals88.5%

Draw or Away (X2)84.3%

Away Team to Score83.1%

Away Over 0.583.1%

Draw No Bet - Away79.6%

Home or Away (12)77.2%

Under 3.5 Goals74.8%

Over 1.5 Goals72.2%

HT Over 0.568.2%

HT Under 1.568.2%

1-3 Goals66.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)64.4%

Away Win61.5%

2-4 Goals60.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.5%

Home Team to Score53.6%

Home Over 0.553.6%

Under 2.5 Goals53.2%

Away Over 1.553.0%

Both Halves Over 0.551.4%

Goal in Both Halves51.4%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.8%

Away Clean Sheet46.4%

Home Exactly 046.4%

1-2 Goals45.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.5%

HT Away Win43.9%

2nd Half More Goals42.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.542.5%

HT Draw41.2%

HT/FT Away/Away39.0%

Away Win to Nil38.6%

Away & No BTTS38.6%

Home or Draw (1X)38.5%

Home Exactly 135.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)35.6%

3-4 Goals35.3%

Away & Over 2.535.1%

BTTS & Over 2.533.8%

HT Under 0.531.8%

HT Over 1.531.8%

1st Half More Goals30.8%

Away Exactly 130.0%

Under 1.5 Goals27.8%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.5%

Away & Under 2.526.4%

Away Over 2.526.3%

Away 3+ Goals26.3%

Away to win by 125.9%

Exactly 2 Goals25.4%

Over 3.5 Goals25.2%

4+ Goals25.2%

Away & BTTS22.9%

Draw22.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Draw No Bet - Home20.4%

Exactly 1 Goal20.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away20.0%

Away to win by 219.1%

Draw & Under 2.518.5%

Home Over 1.517.9%

Home Clean Sheet16.9%

Away Exactly 016.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.5%

Away to win by 3+16.5%

HT Both Teams Score16.1%

Home Win15.7%

Draw & BTTS15.0%

HT Home Win14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.8%

Home Exactly 213.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.0%

Over 4.5 Goals11.5%

Home to win by 111.2%

BTTS & Under 2.510.7%

Home Win to Nil9.1%

Home & No BTTS9.1%

HT/FT Home/Home8.4%

Home & Under 2.58.3%

Under 0.5 Goals7.9%

Exactly 0 Goals7.8%

Home & Over 2.57.4%

Home & BTTS6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.4%

Over 5.5 Goals4.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.5%

Home Over 2.54.3%

Home 3+ Goals4.3%

Draw & Over 2.54.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

Home to win by 23.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

Home to win by 3+1.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.9%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Lokomotiv

N. Komlichenko Knee Injury

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Lokomotiv win50%

Draw50%

Akhmat win0%

AdviceDouble chance : Lokomotiv or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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