Russia · Premier League

Lokomotiv vs Akron

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Lokomotiv 77.9% Draw 15.5% Akron 6.6%

Over 2.5 - 64% BTTS - 47%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 85%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 12.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Lokomotiv: 5 points versus 3 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.6%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

85%

Market agrees with this pick

Lokomotiv

L D L W D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.4

Akron

L L L W L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 5:15 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.5

🏥 Lokomotiv unavailable

C. Montes · Inactive

A. Mitryushkin · Injury

N. Komlichenko · Knee Injury

🏥 Akron unavailable

D. Pestryakov · Injury

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lokomotiv win77.9%

Draw15.5%

Akron win6.6%

Over 1.5 goals85.1%

Over 2.5 goals64.3%

Over 3.5 goals42.2%

Both teams to score46.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.6%

Draw No Bet - Home

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)92.5%

Draw No Bet - Home91.4%

Home or Away (12)86.0%

Home Win78.7%

Both Halves Over 0.565.0%

Goal in Both Halves65.0%

Draw or Away (X2)21.2%

Draw13.8%

Exactly 1 Goal12.0%

Draw No Bet - Away8.6%

Away Win7.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.2%

Under 5.5 Goals88.3%

Over 1.5 Goals84.2%

Under 4.5 Goals76.1%

Over 2.5 Goals64.2%

2-4 Goals60.3%

Under 3.5 Goals57.9%

1-3 Goals54.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals42.1%

4+ Goals42.1%

2-3 Goals42.0%

3-4 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals35.8%

1-2 Goals32.0%

Over 4.5 Goals23.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.0%

Under 1.5 Goals15.8%

Over 5.5 Goals11.7%

Under 0.5 Goals3.8%

Exactly 0 Goals3.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)54.0%

Home Clean Sheet50.3%

Away Team to Score49.6%

Home Win to Nil46.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.0%

Away Clean Sheet7.2%

Away Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.6%

Home Over 1.573.7%

Away Exactly 050.3%

Away Over 0.549.6%

Home Over 2.548.7%

Home 3+ Goals48.7%

Away Exactly 134.5%

Home Exactly 224.9%

Home Exactly 119.0%

Away Over 1.515.1%

Away Exactly 211.8%

Home Exactly 07.2%

Away Over 2.53.2%

Away 3+ Goals3.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)78.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)57.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home57.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)42.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away42.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.4%

Home to win by 3+35.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.0%

Home to win by 222.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.2%

Home to win by 121.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 15.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.5%

Away to win by 21.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.556.5%

Home & No BTTS46.6%

BTTS & Over 2.539.4%

Home & BTTS32.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.524.8%

Home & Under 2.522.1%

Draw & Under 2.510.2%

Draw & BTTS10.2%

BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Away & Over 2.54.0%

Away & BTTS3.8%

Draw & Over 2.53.6%

Away & No BTTS3.6%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.5%

HT Home Win58.9%

HT Under 1.556.1%

HT/FT Home/Home55.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.6%

HT Over 1.543.9%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Draw31.5%

Equal Goals Each Half22.7%

HT Under 0.522.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.2%

HT Both Teams Score18.4%

HT Away Win9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.3%

HT/FT Away/Away3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Lokomotiv

C. Montes Inactive

A. Mitryushkin Injury

N. Komlichenko Knee Injury

Akron

D. Pestryakov Injury

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Lokomotiv win50%

Draw50%

Akron win0%

AdviceDouble chance : Lokomotiv or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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