Russia · Premier League

Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Lokomotiv 20.7% Draw 30.1% FC Krasnodar 49.2%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 14.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Krasnodar: 6 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.5%

Exact-score model probability

Lokomotiv

D D L D L W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

FC Krasnodar

W W W W W L

Form 5-0-1 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lokomotiv win20.7%

Draw30.1%

FC Krasnodar win49.2%

Over 1.5 goals68.4%

Over 2.5 goals40.2%

Over 3.5 goals19.9%

Both teams to score45.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)77.7%

Home or Away (12)73.1%

Draw No Bet - Away69.4%

Away Win50.8%

Home or Draw (1X)49.2%

Both Halves Over 0.546.2%

Goal in Both Halves46.2%

Draw No Bet - Home30.6%

Draw26.9%

Exactly 1 Goal23.1%

Home Win22.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.0%

Under 4.5 Goals91.7%

Over 0.5 Goals89.9%

Under 3.5 Goals80.1%

1-3 Goals70.0%

Over 1.5 Goals66.8%

Under 2.5 Goals59.8%

2-4 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even50.5%

1-2 Goals49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-3 Goals46.8%

Over 2.5 Goals40.2%

Under 1.5 Goals33.2%

3-4 Goals31.9%

Exactly 2 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.3%

Over 3.5 Goals19.9%

4+ Goals19.9%

Under 0.5 Goals10.1%

Exactly 0 Goals10.1%

Over 4.5 Goals8.3%

Over 5.5 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score76.3%

Home Team to Score57.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.8%

Away Clean Sheet42.5%

Away Win to Nil32.4%

Home Clean Sheet23.7%

Home Win to Nil13.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.576.3%

Home Over 0.557.5%

Home Exactly 042.5%

Away Over 1.542.2%

Home Exactly 136.4%

Away Exactly 134.1%

Away Exactly 224.6%

Away Exactly 023.7%

Home Over 1.521.1%

Away Over 2.517.6%

Away 3+ Goals17.6%

Home Exactly 215.5%

Home Over 2.55.6%

Home 3+ Goals5.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)50.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home49.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw25.5%

Away to win by 125.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)22.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.4%

Away to win by 215.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.1%

Home to win by 115.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.9%

Away to win by 3+9.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.5%

Home to win by 25.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.8%

Home to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.547.4%

Away & No BTTS32.4%

BTTS & Over 2.531.4%

Away & Over 2.525.8%

Away & Under 2.525.0%

Draw & Under 2.522.5%

Away & BTTS18.3%

Draw & BTTS16.8%

Home & No BTTS13.6%

BTTS & Under 2.512.4%

Home & Under 2.512.3%

Home & Over 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Home & BTTS8.7%

Draw & Over 2.54.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.4%

HT Over 0.564.4%

HT Draw45.1%

2nd Half More Goals41.6%

HT Away Win36.2%

HT Under 0.535.6%

HT/FT Away/Away30.6%

1st Half More Goals30.3%

Equal Goals Each Half28.2%

HT Over 1.527.6%

HT Home Win18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.0%

HT Both Teams Score15.2%

HT/FT Home/Home12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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