Russia · Premier League

Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov

Kick-off 18:45 · Wed, Sep 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Lokomotiv 35.4% Draw 42.8% Krylia Sovetov 21.8%

Over 2.5 - 14% BTTS - 23%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 27.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

27.7%

Exact-score model probability

Lokomotiv

D D L D L W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Krylia Sovetov

D L L D D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lokomotiv win35.4%

Draw42.8%

Krylia Sovetov win21.8%

Over 1.5 goals38.2%

Over 2.5 goals13.9%

Over 3.5 goals4.2%

Both teams to score23.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Under 1.5

88.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)76.8%

Draw or Away (X2)63.2%

Draw No Bet - Home61.3%

Home or Away (12)60.1%

Draw39.9%

Draw No Bet - Away38.7%

Home Win36.8%

Exactly 1 Goal35.6%

Away Win23.2%

Both Halves Over 0.522.2%

Goal in Both Halves22.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.8%

Under 4.5 Goals99.0%

Under 3.5 Goals95.8%

Under 2.5 Goals86.1%

Over 0.5 Goals72.3%

1-3 Goals68.2%

Under 1.5 Goals63.3%

1-2 Goals58.4%

Total Goals Even53.8%

Total Goals Odd46.2%

Over 1.5 Goals36.7%

2-4 Goals35.7%

2-3 Goals32.6%

Under 0.5 Goals27.7%

Exactly 0 Goals27.7%

Exactly 2 Goals22.8%

Over 2.5 Goals13.9%

3-4 Goals12.9%

Exactly 3 Goals9.8%

Over 3.5 Goals4.2%

4+ Goals4.2%

Over 4.5 Goals1.0%

Over 5.5 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)78.2%

Home Clean Sheet58.7%

Home Team to Score52.9%

Away Clean Sheet47.1%

Away Team to Score41.3%

Home Win to Nil31.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)21.8%

Away Win to Nil19.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Exactly 058.7%

Home Over 0.552.9%

Home Exactly 047.1%

Away Over 0.541.3%

Home Exactly 135.5%

Away Exactly 131.3%

Home Over 1.517.4%

Home Exactly 213.3%

Away Over 1.510.0%

Away Exactly 28.3%

Home Over 2.54.1%

Home 3+ Goals4.1%

Away Over 2.51.7%

Away 3+ Goals1.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.3%

Home to win by 125.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.9%

Away to win by 117.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.9%

Home to win by 28.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.5%

Away to win by 24.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.6%

Home to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.575.0%

Draw & Under 2.538.8%

Home & No BTTS31.1%

Home & Under 2.528.7%

Away & No BTTS19.4%

Away & Under 2.518.7%

Draw & BTTS12.2%

BTTS & Under 2.511.1%

BTTS & Over 2.510.7%

Home & Over 2.58.2%

Home & BTTS5.8%

Away & Over 2.54.6%

Away & BTTS3.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.2%

Draw & Over 2.51.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.588.5%

HT Draw60.8%

HT Under 0.556.1%

HT Over 0.543.9%

Equal Goals Each Half40.2%

2nd Half More Goals33.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw33.7%

1st Half More Goals25.9%

HT Home Win23.5%

HT/FT Home/Home19.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.2%

HT Away Win15.8%

HT/FT Away/Away12.0%

HT Over 1.511.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.8%

HT Both Teams Score6.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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