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Russia · Premier League

Lokomotiv vs Rubin

Kick-off 17:30 · Fri, Nov 6
📊 Our Prediction
Home +5.5 (Handicap)
36% confidence
Lokomotiv 36.1% Draw 33.9% Rubin 30.0%
Over 2.5 - 34% BTTS - 43%
🎯 Best Pick
Under 4.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
94%
▸ Show 1 alternative
Home or Draw (1X)
Double chance from Poisson
70%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 14%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-0
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
14%
Exact-score model probability
Lokomotiv
D D L D L W
Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17
Rubin
D D W L D L
Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lokomotiv win36.1%
Draw33.9%
Rubin win30.0%
Over 1.5 goals62.3%
Over 2.5 goals33.5%
Over 3.5 goals15.1%
Both teams to score42.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)
88.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home
88.4%
Over 0.5 Goals
87.0%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)69.6%
Home or Draw (1X)68.2%
Draw or Away (X2)62.1%
Draw No Bet - Home54.4%
Draw No Bet - Away45.6%
Both Halves Over 0.540.6%
Goal in Both Halves40.6%
Home Win37.9%
Away Win31.8%
Draw30.4%
Exactly 1 Goal26.5%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Under 5.5 Goals98.2%
Under 4.5 Goals94.3%
Over 0.5 Goals87.0%
Under 3.5 Goals84.9%
1-3 Goals72.0%
Under 2.5 Goals66.5%
Over 1.5 Goals60.6%
2-4 Goals54.9%
1-2 Goals53.5%
Total Goals Even50.8%
Total Goals Odd49.2%
2-3 Goals45.5%
Under 1.5 Goals39.4%
Over 2.5 Goals33.5%
3-4 Goals27.9%
Exactly 2 Goals27.1%
Exactly 3 Goals18.4%
Over 3.5 Goals15.1%
4+ Goals15.1%
Under 0.5 Goals13.0%
Exactly 0 Goals13.0%
Over 4.5 Goals5.7%
Over 5.5 Goals1.8%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score66.1%
Away Team to Score61.8%
No Both Teams Score (NG)59.1%
Both Teams Score (GG)40.9%
Home Clean Sheet38.2%
Away Clean Sheet33.9%
Home Win to Nil25.2%
Away Win to Nil21.0%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.566.1%
Away Over 0.561.8%
Away Exactly 038.2%
Away Exactly 136.8%
Home Exactly 136.7%
Home Exactly 033.9%
Home Over 1.529.4%
Away Over 1.525.1%
Home Exactly 219.8%
Away Exactly 217.7%
Home Over 2.59.6%
Home 3+ Goals9.6%
Away Over 2.57.4%
Away 3+ Goals7.4%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.9%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.8%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.4%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.4%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.8%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.8%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.2%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)62.1%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away62.1%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)37.9%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.7%
Home to win by 122.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.2%
Away to win by 120.2%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.2%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.6%
Home to win by 210.6%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.4%
Away to win by 28.4%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.6%
Home to win by 3+4.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.5%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.2%
Away to win by 3+3.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.5%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
Combos (15)
No BTTS & Under 2.553.0%
BTTS & Over 2.527.4%
Draw & Under 2.526.4%
Home & No BTTS25.2%
Home & Under 2.521.6%
Away & No BTTS21.0%
Away & Under 2.518.5%
Draw & BTTS17.4%
Home & Over 2.516.3%
BTTS & Under 2.513.5%
Away & Over 2.513.3%
Home & BTTS12.6%
Away & BTTS10.8%
No BTTS & Over 2.56.2%
Draw & Over 2.53.9%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Under 1.576.5%
HT Over 0.560.1%
HT Draw48.7%
2nd Half More Goals40.2%
HT Under 0.539.9%
Equal Goals Each Half30.2%
1st Half More Goals29.6%
HT Home Win27.5%
HT Away Win23.8%
HT Over 1.523.5%
HT/FT Home/Home21.5%
HT/FT Draw/Draw21.2%
HT/FT Away/Away17.7%
HT/FT Draw/Home14.8%
HT Both Teams Score13.5%
HT/FT Draw/Away12.7%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%
HT/FT Away/Home1.6%
HT/FT Home/Away1.4%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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