Russia · Premier League

Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow

Kick-off 17:45 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Lokomotiv 28.8% Draw 34.5% Spartak Moscow 36.7%

Over 2.5 - 32% BTTS - 41%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 14.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Spartak Moscow: 6 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.8%

Exact-score model probability

Lokomotiv

D D L D L W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Spartak Moscow

D W L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lokomotiv win28.8%

Draw34.5%

Spartak Moscow win36.7%

Over 1.5 goals60.4%

Over 2.5 goals31.6%

Over 3.5 goals13.8%

Both teams to score40.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.3%

Under 3.5 Goals

86.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)69.4%

Home or Away (12)69.0%

Home or Draw (1X)61.6%

Draw No Bet - Away55.7%

Draw No Bet - Home44.3%

Both Halves Over 0.539.0%

Goal in Both Halves39.0%

Away Win38.4%

Draw31.0%

Home Win30.6%

Exactly 1 Goal27.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.4%

Under 4.5 Goals95.0%

Under 3.5 Goals86.2%

Over 0.5 Goals86.1%

1-3 Goals72.3%

Under 2.5 Goals68.4%

Over 1.5 Goals58.7%

1-2 Goals54.5%

2-4 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even51.0%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

2-3 Goals44.9%

Under 1.5 Goals41.3%

Over 2.5 Goals31.6%

Exactly 2 Goals27.1%

3-4 Goals26.6%

Exactly 3 Goals17.8%

Under 0.5 Goals13.9%

Exactly 0 Goals13.9%

Over 3.5 Goals13.8%

4+ Goals13.8%

Over 4.5 Goals5.0%

Over 5.5 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score65.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)60.9%

Home Team to Score59.8%

Away Clean Sheet40.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)39.1%

Home Clean Sheet34.6%

Away Win to Nil26.3%

Home Win to Nil20.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.565.4%

Home Over 0.559.8%

Home Exactly 040.2%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 034.6%

Away Over 1.528.7%

Home Over 1.523.2%

Away Exactly 219.5%

Home Exactly 216.7%

Away Over 2.59.2%

Away 3+ Goals9.2%

Home Over 2.56.5%

Home 3+ Goals6.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away69.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)30.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.1%

Away to win by 123.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 119.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.7%

Away to win by 210.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.9%

Home to win by 27.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.6%

Away to win by 3+4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.8%

Home to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.554.9%

Draw & Under 2.527.4%

Away & No BTTS26.3%

BTTS & Over 2.525.7%

Away & Under 2.522.6%

Home & No BTTS20.7%

Home & Under 2.518.5%

Draw & BTTS17.1%

Away & Over 2.515.8%

BTTS & Under 2.513.5%

Away & BTTS12.2%

Home & Over 2.512.1%

Home & BTTS9.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.9%

Draw & Over 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.577.7%

HT Over 0.558.8%

HT Draw49.6%

HT Under 0.541.2%

2nd Half More Goals39.7%

Equal Goals Each Half30.9%

1st Half More Goals29.4%

HT Away Win27.5%

HT Home Win22.8%

HT Over 1.522.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw22.0%

HT/FT Away/Away21.8%

HT/FT Home/Home16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.1%

HT Both Teams Score12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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