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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Lommel United vs Club Brugge KV

Kick-off 19:45 · Fri, Sep 4
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
47% confidence
Lommel United 25.7% Draw 27.6% Club Brugge KV 46.6%
Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 78%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
83%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
78%
Draw or Away (X2)
Double chance from Poisson
74%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Club Brugge KV: 11 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.84 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
7.2%
Exact-score model probability
Lommel United
L D D W W W
Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1
Club Brugge KV
L W W W D W
Form 4-1-1 Goals 19:4 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lommel United win25.7%
Draw27.6%
Club Brugge KV win46.6%
Over 1.5 goals75.2%
Over 2.5 goals83.3%
Over 3.5 goals27.3%
Both teams to score77.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)
89.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away
89.7%
HT Over 0.5
87.2%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)82.8%
Both Halves Over 0.580.1%
Goal in Both Halves80.1%
Draw or Away (X2)78.2%
Draw No Bet - Away74.0%
Away Win61.2%
Home or Draw (1X)38.5%
Draw No Bet - Home26.0%
Home Win21.5%
Draw16.9%
Exactly 1 Goal4.7%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.7%
Over 1.5 Goals93.9%
Over 2.5 Goals83.1%
Under 5.5 Goals69.4%
Over 3.5 Goals66.6%
4+ Goals66.6%
Under 4.5 Goals52.2%
Total Goals Even49.9%
Total Goals Odd49.8%
Over 4.5 Goals47.8%
2-4 Goals46.2%
3-4 Goals35.3%
Under 3.5 Goals33.4%
1-3 Goals32.1%
Over 5.5 Goals30.6%
2-3 Goals27.3%
Under 2.5 Goals16.9%
Exactly 3 Goals16.5%
1-2 Goals15.6%
Exactly 2 Goals10.8%
Under 1.5 Goals6.1%
Under 0.5 Goals1.3%
Exactly 0 Goals1.0%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score94.0%
Home Team to Score81.7%
Both Teams Score (GG)77.0%
No Both Teams Score (NG)23.0%
Away Clean Sheet18.0%
Away Win to Nil17.0%
Home Clean Sheet5.7%
Home Win to Nil4.7%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.594.0%
Home Over 0.581.7%
Away Over 1.577.5%
Away Over 2.554.1%
Away 3+ Goals54.1%
Home Over 1.550.9%
Home Exactly 130.8%
Home Exactly 226.4%
Home Over 2.524.5%
Home 3+ Goals24.5%
Away Exactly 223.4%
Home Exactly 018.0%
Away Exactly 116.4%
Away Exactly 05.7%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.8%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.0%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.7%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)86.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home86.9%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.2%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)74.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home74.7%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)61.2%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)57.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home57.7%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)42.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away42.0%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)38.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home38.5%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.0%
Away to win by 3+25.0%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.2%
Away to win by 119.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.1%
Away to win by 217.1%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)12.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away12.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.5%
Home to win by 111.5%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.1%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.1%
Home to win by 26.1%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.7%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.9%
Home to win by 3+3.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.6%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.1%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.571.9%
Away & Over 2.554.0%
Away & BTTS44.3%
Home & Over 2.518.2%
Away & No BTTS17.0%
Home & BTTS16.8%
Draw & BTTS15.9%
No BTTS & Under 2.511.5%
No BTTS & Over 2.511.2%
Draw & Over 2.510.8%
Away & Under 2.57.2%
Draw & Under 2.56.1%
BTTS & Under 2.55.1%
Home & No BTTS4.7%
Home & Under 2.53.3%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.587.2%
HT Over 1.560.9%
2nd Half More Goals48.8%
HT Away Win48.7%
HT/FT Away/Away41.5%
HT Under 1.539.1%
HT Both Teams Score38.8%
1st Half More Goals32.3%
HT Draw29.0%
HT Home Win22.3%
Equal Goals Each Half18.9%
HT/FT Draw/Away15.1%
HT Under 0.512.8%
HT/FT Home/Home12.6%
HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%
HT/FT Draw/Home6.6%
HT/FT Home/Away4.9%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%
HT/FT Away/Home2.3%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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