Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Lommel United vs Gent

Kick-off 18:30 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Lommel United 46.5% Draw 30.0% Gent 23.5%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 53%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 11.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Gent: 11 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.2%

Exact-score model probability

Lommel United

L D D W W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

Gent

W D W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lommel United win46.5%

Draw30.0%

Gent win23.5%

Over 1.5 goals67.9%

Over 2.5 goals64.5%

Over 3.5 goals19.8%

Both teams to score52.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.6%

Home Over 0.5

91.6%

Home or Draw (1X)

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.4%

Draw No Bet - Home87.5%

Home or Away (12)83.9%

Home Win73.4%

Both Halves Over 0.565.1%

Goal in Both Halves65.1%

Draw or Away (X2)26.5%

Draw16.0%

Draw No Bet - Away12.5%

Exactly 1 Goal12.0%

Away Win10.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.3%

Under 5.5 Goals88.1%

Over 1.5 Goals84.3%

Under 4.5 Goals75.9%

Over 2.5 Goals64.4%

2-4 Goals60.3%

Under 3.5 Goals57.6%

1-3 Goals53.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.4%

4+ Goals42.4%

2-3 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.6%

1-2 Goals31.9%

Over 4.5 Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.9%

Under 1.5 Goals15.7%

Over 5.5 Goals11.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.7%

Exactly 0 Goals3.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.6%

Away Team to Score56.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.2%

Home Clean Sheet43.4%

Home Win to Nil39.8%

Away Clean Sheet8.3%

Away Win to Nil4.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.6%

Home Over 1.570.9%

Away Over 0.556.5%

Home Over 2.545.2%

Home 3+ Goals45.2%

Away Exactly 043.4%

Away Exactly 136.2%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Home Exactly 120.7%

Away Over 1.520.3%

Away Exactly 215.1%

Home Exactly 08.3%

Away Over 2.55.2%

Away 3+ Goals5.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.1%

Home to win by 3+30.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.1%

Home to win by 122.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.2%

Home to win by 221.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.4%

Away to win by 17.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 22.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.553.3%

BTTS & Over 2.544.3%

Home & No BTTS39.8%

Home & BTTS33.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.0%

Home & Under 2.520.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.1%

Draw & BTTS12.4%

Draw & Under 2.511.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Away & Over 2.56.2%

Away & BTTS5.8%

Draw & Over 2.54.9%

Away & No BTTS4.7%

Away & Under 2.54.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.6%

HT Under 1.555.9%

HT Home Win54.8%

HT/FT Home/Home50.5%

2nd Half More Goals45.6%

HT Over 1.544.1%

HT Draw32.9%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.6%

HT Under 0.522.4%

HT Both Teams Score21.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.6%

HT Away Win12.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.2%

HT/FT Away/Away5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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