Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Lommel United 52.8% Draw 25.5% KVC Westerlo 21.8%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lommel United: 11 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.3%

Exact-score model probability

Lommel United

L D D W W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

KVC Westerlo

L L L L W L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 5:15 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lommel United win52.8%

Draw25.5%

KVC Westerlo win21.8%

Over 1.5 goals79.4%

Over 2.5 goals88.0%

Over 3.5 goals32.6%

Both teams to score69.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

91.9%

Home or Draw (1X)

91.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home91.9%

Home or Draw (1X)91.1%

Home or Away (12)88.8%

Both Halves Over 0.584.4%

Goal in Both Halves84.4%

Home Win81.6%

Draw or Away (X2)16.6%

Draw9.5%

Draw No Bet - Away8.1%

Away Win7.2%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals94.5%

Over 2.5 Goals86.5%

Over 3.5 Goals73.0%

4+ Goals73.0%

Under 5.5 Goals61.8%

Over 4.5 Goals55.7%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

Under 4.5 Goals44.3%

2-4 Goals38.8%

Over 5.5 Goals38.2%

3-4 Goals30.8%

Under 3.5 Goals27.0%

1-3 Goals24.7%

2-3 Goals21.5%

Under 2.5 Goals13.5%

Exactly 3 Goals13.5%

1-2 Goals11.1%

Exactly 2 Goals8.0%

Under 1.5 Goals5.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score69.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.1%

Home Clean Sheet28.9%

Home Win to Nil28.3%

Away Clean Sheet2.1%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.588.0%

Home Over 2.572.4%

Home 3+ Goals72.4%

Away Over 0.569.4%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Away Over 1.534.0%

Away Exactly 028.9%

Away Exactly 221.6%

Home Exactly 215.7%

Away Over 2.512.4%

Away 3+ Goals12.4%

Home Exactly 18.1%

Home Exactly 02.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)81.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)80.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away80.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home66.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)66.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away66.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away49.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)49.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home49.1%

Home to win by 3+49.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home31.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)31.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away31.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home17.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 217.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 114.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.7%

Away to win by 14.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.8%

Away to win by 21.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.574.6%

BTTS & Over 2.565.0%

Home & BTTS53.3%

Home & No BTTS28.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.5%

Draw & BTTS8.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Home & Under 2.57.0%

Away & Over 2.56.0%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Away & BTTS5.7%

Draw & Under 2.53.5%

BTTS & Under 2.52.9%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Away & Under 2.51.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.9%

HT Over 1.566.7%

HT Home Win66.4%

HT/FT Home/Home62.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT Both Teams Score34.9%

HT Under 1.533.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw22.4%

Equal Goals Each Half17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.9%

HT Away Win11.2%

HT Under 0.510.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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