France · Ligue 1

Lorient vs Paris FC

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

36% confidence

Lorient 35.9% Draw 29.0% Paris FC 35.1%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Paris FC: 5 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Lorient 0 wins, 1 draws, Paris FC 1 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Lorient

L D W L D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:8 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.33

Paris FC

W D W W D W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 10:4 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 2

Lorient 0wins ·1 draws ·Paris FC 1wins

Lorient 1-1 Paris FCApr 5, 2026

Lorient 0-2 Paris FCOct 3, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lorient win35.9%

Draw29.0%

Paris FC win35.1%

Over 1.5 goals71.1%

Over 2.5 goals83.5%

Over 3.5 goals23.2%

Both teams to score78.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.6%

Away Team to Score

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.9%

Draw or Away (X2)79.6%

Draw No Bet - Away74.9%

Both Halves Over 0.570.2%

Goal in Both Halves70.2%

Away Win60.6%

Home or Draw (1X)39.4%

Draw No Bet - Home25.1%

Home Win20.3%

Draw19.1%

Exactly 1 Goal9.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals88.1%

Under 5.5 Goals83.4%

Over 2.5 Goals71.0%

Under 4.5 Goals69.2%

2-4 Goals57.3%

Over 3.5 Goals50.1%

4+ Goals50.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals47.3%

3-4 Goals40.2%

2-3 Goals38.0%

Over 4.5 Goals30.8%

Under 2.5 Goals29.0%

1-2 Goals26.4%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 2 Goals17.1%

Over 5.5 Goals16.6%

Under 1.5 Goals11.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals2.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.5%

Home Team to Score73.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.7%

Away Clean Sheet26.7%

Away Win to Nil24.2%

Home Clean Sheet9.4%

Home Win to Nil6.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.5%

Home Over 0.573.2%

Away Over 1.568.2%

Away Over 2.542.0%

Away 3+ Goals42.0%

Home Over 1.537.9%

Home Exactly 135.3%

Home Exactly 026.7%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Home Exactly 223.2%

Away Exactly 122.3%

Home Over 2.514.7%

Home 3+ Goals14.7%

Away Exactly 09.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home78.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)60.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)39.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home39.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)39.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away39.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.5%

Away to win by 121.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)21.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away21.2%

Away to win by 3+21.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.9%

Away to win by 217.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 112.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.6%

Home to win by 25.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.7%

Home to win by 3+2.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.4%

Away & Over 2.547.6%

Away & BTTS36.3%

Away & No BTTS24.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.0%

Draw & BTTS16.5%

Home & Over 2.514.8%

Home & BTTS13.4%

Away & Under 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.6%

Draw & Under 2.510.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Home & No BTTS6.9%

Home & Under 2.55.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.9%

HT Under 1.550.7%

HT Over 1.549.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.7%

HT Away Win46.5%

HT/FT Away/Away40.0%

HT Draw33.2%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score29.3%

Equal Goals Each Half21.3%

HT Home Win20.3%

HT Under 0.519.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.7%

HT/FT Home/Home11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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