France · Ligue 1

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29

Kick-off 20:45 · Mon, Nov 2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Lorient 46.4% Draw 26.8% Stade Brestois 29 26.7%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

76%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lorient: 11 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10%

Exact-score model probability

Lorient

D W W L D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

Stade Brestois 29

L D W L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Lorient 1wins ·1 draws ·Stade Brestois 29 3wins

Lorient 0-2 Stade Brestois 29Feb 7, 2026

Lorient 3-3 Stade Brestois 29Oct 19, 2025

Lorient 0-1 Stade Brestois 29Mar 31, 2024

Lorient 0-4 Stade Brestois 29Dec 20, 2023

Lorient 2-1 Stade Brestois 29May 7, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lorient win46.4%

Draw26.8%

Stade Brestois 29 win26.7%

Over 1.5 goals75.7%

Over 2.5 goals65.8%

Over 3.5 goals28.3%

Both teams to score67.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.6%

Under 5.5 Goals

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.1%

Both Halves Over 0.564.9%

Goal in Both Halves64.9%

Draw or Away (X2)64.8%

Home or Draw (1X)58.1%

Draw No Bet - Away54.4%

Draw No Bet - Home45.6%

Away Win41.9%

Home Win35.2%

Draw22.9%

Exactly 1 Goal12.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.3%

Under 5.5 Goals88.2%

Over 1.5 Goals84.2%

Under 4.5 Goals76.1%

Over 2.5 Goals64.2%

2-4 Goals60.3%

Under 3.5 Goals57.8%

1-3 Goals54.2%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.2%

4+ Goals42.2%

2-3 Goals42.1%

3-4 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals35.8%

1-2 Goals32.1%

Over 4.5 Goals23.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.0%

Under 1.5 Goals15.8%

Over 5.5 Goals11.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.7%

Exactly 0 Goals3.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.3%

Home Team to Score79.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.7%

Away Clean Sheet20.7%

Home Clean Sheet17.6%

Away Win to Nil17.1%

Home Win to Nil14.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.3%

Home Over 0.579.3%

Away Over 1.551.7%

Home Over 1.546.7%

Home Exactly 132.6%

Away Exactly 130.6%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Away Over 2.525.2%

Away 3+ Goals25.2%

Home Over 2.521.0%

Home 3+ Goals21.0%

Home Exactly 020.7%

Away Exactly 017.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)58.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home58.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)41.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.0%

Away to win by 120.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 118.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.6%

Away to win by 212.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.3%

Home to win by 210.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.4%

Away to win by 3+9.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.7%

Home to win by 3+6.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.555.3%

Away & Over 2.530.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.8%

Home & Over 2.524.9%

Away & BTTS24.9%

Home & BTTS21.2%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & No BTTS17.1%

Home & No BTTS14.0%

Draw & Under 2.513.6%

Away & Under 2.511.8%

Home & Under 2.510.3%

BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.4%

HT Under 1.556.1%

2nd Half More Goals45.6%

HT Over 1.543.9%

HT Draw36.9%

HT Away Win33.7%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Home Win29.4%

HT Both Teams Score27.5%

HT/FT Away/Away25.6%

Equal Goals Each Half22.7%

HT Under 0.522.6%

HT/FT Home/Home21.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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