USA · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC vs Austin

Kick-off 03:30 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Los Angeles FC 47.5% Draw 27.3% Austin 25.2%

Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Austin: 6 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.5%

Exact-score model probability

Los Angeles FC

D L L W D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Austin

L D D W D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Los Angeles FC win47.5%

Draw27.3%

Austin win25.2%

Over 1.5 goals78.6%

Over 2.5 goals53.3%

Over 3.5 goals31.1%

Both teams to score56.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.7%

Home or Draw (1X)73.4%

Draw No Bet - Home64.8%

Both Halves Over 0.556.5%

Goal in Both Halves56.5%

Draw or Away (X2)51.0%

Home Win49.0%

Draw No Bet - Away35.2%

Away Win26.6%

Draw24.3%

Exactly 1 Goal16.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.0%

Under 5.5 Goals93.4%

Under 4.5 Goals84.6%

Over 1.5 Goals77.1%

Under 3.5 Goals68.9%

1-3 Goals62.9%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals46.7%

2-3 Goals46.0%

1-2 Goals40.7%

3-4 Goals37.9%

Over 3.5 Goals31.1%

4+ Goals31.1%

Exactly 2 Goals23.8%

Under 1.5 Goals22.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals15.4%

Over 5.5 Goals6.6%

Under 0.5 Goals6.0%

Exactly 0 Goals6.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score80.9%

Away Team to Score68.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.6%

Home Clean Sheet31.5%

Home Win to Nil25.5%

Away Clean Sheet19.1%

Away Win to Nil13.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.580.9%

Away Over 0.568.5%

Home Over 1.549.3%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Away Over 1.532.1%

Home Exactly 131.6%

Away Exactly 031.5%

Home Exactly 226.2%

Home Over 2.523.1%

Home 3+ Goals23.1%

Away Exactly 221.0%

Home Exactly 019.1%

Away Over 2.511.1%

Away 3+ Goals11.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home73.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)49.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)26.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.0%

Home to win by 123.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.1%

Away to win by 116.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 214.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.1%

Home to win by 3+11.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.3%

Away to win by 27.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.543.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.2%

Home & Over 2.530.8%

Home & No BTTS25.5%

Home & BTTS23.6%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

Home & Under 2.518.2%

Draw & Under 2.517.5%

Away & Over 2.515.7%

Away & BTTS13.5%

Away & No BTTS13.1%

BTTS & Under 2.511.5%

Away & Under 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.8%

HT Under 1.563.9%

2nd Half More Goals43.9%

HT Draw40.3%

HT Home Win36.9%

HT Over 1.536.1%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT/FT Home/Home30.1%

HT Under 0.528.2%

Equal Goals Each Half24.9%

HT Away Win22.9%

HT Both Teams Score21.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.2%

HT/FT Away/Away15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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