USA · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy

● LIVE 45' · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

74% confidence

Los Angeles FC 73.7% Draw 15.7% Los Angeles Galaxy 10.6%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Los Angeles Galaxy: 8 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

Los Angeles FC

W D L L W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Los Angeles Galaxy

D W D W D L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Los Angeles FC 1wins ·0 draws ·Los Angeles Galaxy 0wins

Los Angeles FC 3-0 Los Angeles GalaxyJul 18, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Los Angeles FC win73.7%

Draw15.7%

Los Angeles Galaxy win10.6%

Over 1.5 goals91.8%

Over 2.5 goals76.6%

Over 3.5 goals57.2%

Both teams to score64.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.4%

Draw No Bet - Home86.8%

Home or Away (12)85.5%

Both Halves Over 0.574.6%

Goal in Both Halves74.6%

Home Win74.2%

Draw or Away (X2)25.4%

Draw14.2%

Draw No Bet - Away13.2%

Away Win11.3%

Exactly 1 Goal7.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.8%

Under 5.5 Goals78.3%

Over 2.5 Goals76.4%

Under 4.5 Goals62.5%

Over 3.5 Goals57.0%

4+ Goals57.0%

2-4 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals43.0%

1-3 Goals40.9%

3-4 Goals38.9%

Over 4.5 Goals37.5%

2-3 Goals33.7%

Under 2.5 Goals23.6%

Over 5.5 Goals21.7%

1-2 Goals21.5%

Exactly 3 Goals19.4%

Exactly 2 Goals14.4%

Under 1.5 Goals9.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

Away Team to Score66.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.9%

Home Clean Sheet33.0%

Home Win to Nil31.3%

Away Clean Sheet5.3%

Away Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Home Over 1.578.7%

Away Over 0.566.6%

Home Over 2.555.8%

Home 3+ Goals55.8%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 033.0%

Away Over 1.530.1%

Home Exactly 222.9%

Away Exactly 220.1%

Home Exactly 115.6%

Away Over 2.510.0%

Away 3+ Goals10.0%

Home Exactly 05.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away80.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)54.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home54.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home34.8%

Home to win by 3+34.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 219.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 119.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home19.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.4%

Away to win by 17.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.8%

Away to win by 22.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.561.5%

BTTS & Over 2.557.3%

Home & BTTS43.0%

Home & No BTTS31.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.6%

Home & Under 2.512.8%

Draw & BTTS12.4%

Away & Over 2.58.2%

Away & BTTS7.7%

Draw & Under 2.57.5%

Draw & Over 2.56.7%

BTTS & Under 2.55.7%

Away & No BTTS3.6%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.7%

HT Home Win57.2%

HT Over 1.554.2%

HT/FT Home/Home52.6%

2nd Half More Goals47.6%

HT Under 1.545.8%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw28.8%

HT Both Teams Score28.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.8%

HT Under 0.516.3%

HT Away Win14.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Away/Away6.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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