USA · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls

Kick-off 03:30 · Thu, Sep 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

74% confidence

Los Angeles FC 73.5% Draw 16.5% New York Red Bulls 10.0%

Over 2.5 - 72% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to New York Red Bulls: 6 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Los Angeles FC

D D L L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

New York Red Bulls

D L W L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:10 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Los Angeles FC win73.5%

Draw16.5%

New York Red Bulls win10.0%

Over 1.5 goals89.5%

Over 2.5 goals72.0%

Over 3.5 goals51.3%

Both teams to score59.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.9%

Home or Draw (1X)

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.9%

Draw No Bet - Home87.3%

Home or Away (12)85.0%

Home Win74.2%

Both Halves Over 0.571.0%

Goal in Both Halves71.0%

Draw or Away (X2)25.6%

Draw14.8%

Draw No Bet - Away12.7%

Away Win10.8%

Exactly 1 Goal8.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals88.5%

Under 5.5 Goals82.7%

Over 2.5 Goals71.9%

Under 4.5 Goals68.2%

2-4 Goals56.7%

Over 3.5 Goals51.2%

4+ Goals51.2%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals48.8%

1-3 Goals46.2%

3-4 Goals40.1%

2-3 Goals37.3%

Over 4.5 Goals31.8%

Under 2.5 Goals28.1%

1-2 Goals25.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.7%

Over 5.5 Goals17.3%

Exactly 2 Goals16.6%

Under 1.5 Goals11.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals2.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.4%

Away Team to Score62.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.5%

Home Clean Sheet37.3%

Home Win to Nil34.9%

Away Clean Sheet6.4%

Away Win to Nil4.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.4%

Home Over 1.575.9%

Away Over 0.562.5%

Home Over 2.551.8%

Home 3+ Goals51.8%

Away Exactly 037.3%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Over 1.525.8%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Away Exactly 218.1%

Home Exactly 117.5%

Away Over 2.57.7%

Away 3+ Goals7.7%

Home Exactly 06.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home53.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)46.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away46.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home33.2%

Home to win by 3+33.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.5%

Home to win by 120.5%

Home to win by 220.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.3%

Away to win by 17.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.6%

Away to win by 22.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.558.6%

BTTS & Over 2.552.1%

Home & BTTS39.3%

Home & No BTTS34.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.8%

Home & Under 2.515.6%

Draw & BTTS12.4%

Draw & Under 2.58.8%

Away & Over 2.57.3%

Away & BTTS6.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Away & No BTTS4.0%

Away & Under 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.4%

HT Home Win56.5%

HT/FT Home/Home52.0%

HT Over 1.550.1%

HT Under 1.549.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.8%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw30.3%

HT Both Teams Score25.4%

Equal Goals Each Half21.1%

HT Under 0.518.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.6%

HT Away Win13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.8%

HT/FT Away/Away5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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