USA · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers

● LIVE 63' · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Los Angeles FC 45.0% Draw 20.1% Portland Timbers 34.9%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 52%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Portland Timbers: 10 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

52%

Market does not fully agree

Los Angeles FC

L L D W W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 11:4 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 0.67

Portland Timbers

W L W W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 15:8 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Los Angeles FC win45.0%

Draw20.1%

Portland Timbers win34.9%

Over 1.5 goals95.6%

Over 2.5 goals85.1%

Over 3.5 goals69.5%

Both teams to score82.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.7%

Home Over 0.5

91.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.581.6%

Goal in Both Halves81.6%

Home or Away (12)81.1%

Home or Draw (1X)64.3%

Draw No Bet - Home56.2%

Draw or Away (X2)54.3%

Home Win45.6%

Draw No Bet - Away43.8%

Away Win35.5%

Draw18.8%

Exactly 1 Goal4.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals94.8%

Over 2.5 Goals84.9%

Over 3.5 Goals69.4%

4+ Goals69.4%

Under 5.5 Goals66.4%

Over 4.5 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals49.0%

2-4 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals34.0%

Over 5.5 Goals33.6%

Under 3.5 Goals30.6%

1-3 Goals29.6%

2-3 Goals25.4%

Exactly 3 Goals15.6%

Under 2.5 Goals15.1%

1-2 Goals14.0%

Exactly 2 Goals9.9%

Under 1.5 Goals5.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.7%

Away Team to Score89.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.2%

Home Clean Sheet10.8%

Home Win to Nil9.9%

Away Clean Sheet8.1%

Away Win to Nil7.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.7%

Away Over 0.589.0%

Home Over 1.571.3%

Away Over 1.565.0%

Home Over 2.545.7%

Home 3+ Goals45.7%

Away Over 2.538.3%

Away 3+ Goals38.3%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Away Exactly 124.0%

Home Exactly 120.4%

Away Exactly 010.8%

Home Exactly 08.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.7%

Away to win by 115.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.7%

Home to win by 3+14.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 213.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.4%

Away to win by 210.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.5%

Away to win by 3+9.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.9%

Home & Over 2.540.6%

Home & BTTS35.6%

Away & Over 2.531.4%

Away & BTTS28.2%

Draw & BTTS17.9%

Draw & Over 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Home & No BTTS9.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.1%

Away & No BTTS7.3%

Draw & Under 2.55.8%

Home & Under 2.55.0%

BTTS & Under 2.54.9%

Away & Under 2.54.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.1%

HT Over 1.562.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.1%

HT Both Teams Score42.8%

HT Home Win38.5%

HT Under 1.537.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win31.9%

HT Draw29.6%

HT/FT Home/Home29.3%

HT/FT Away/Away22.0%

Equal Goals Each Half18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.0%

HT Under 0.511.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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