USA · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC vs San Diego

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Los Angeles FC 64.5% Draw 17.5% San Diego 18.0%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Los Angeles FC: 13 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

Los Angeles FC

D W W W W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 14:5 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.83

San Diego

D W L L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 12:9 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

Los Angeles FC 0wins ·1 draws ·San Diego 0wins

Los Angeles FC 2-2 San DiegoMay 3, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Los Angeles FC win64.5%

Draw17.5%

San Diego win18.0%

Over 1.5 goals94.6%

Over 2.5 goals82.8%

Over 3.5 goals65.9%

Both teams to score75.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.5%

HT Over 0.5

86.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.5%

Home or Draw (1X)81.1%

Both Halves Over 0.579.6%

Goal in Both Halves79.6%

Draw No Bet - Home77.8%

Home Win64.9%

Draw or Away (X2)34.7%

Draw No Bet - Away22.2%

Away Win18.6%

Draw16.2%

Exactly 1 Goal4.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.6%

Over 2.5 Goals82.5%

Under 5.5 Goals70.4%

Over 3.5 Goals65.7%

4+ Goals65.7%

Under 4.5 Goals53.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

2-4 Goals46.9%

Over 4.5 Goals46.8%

3-4 Goals35.7%

Under 3.5 Goals34.3%

1-3 Goals32.9%

Over 5.5 Goals29.6%

2-3 Goals27.9%

Under 2.5 Goals17.5%

Exactly 3 Goals16.8%

1-2 Goals16.1%

Exactly 2 Goals11.1%

Under 1.5 Goals6.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

Away Team to Score79.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.0%

Home Clean Sheet20.5%

Home Win to Nil19.4%

Away Clean Sheet5.3%

Away Win to Nil4.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Away Over 0.579.2%

Home Over 1.578.7%

Home Over 2.555.8%

Home 3+ Goals55.8%

Away Over 1.546.8%

Away Exactly 132.4%

Away Exactly 225.6%

Home Exactly 222.9%

Away Over 2.521.2%

Away 3+ Goals21.2%

Away Exactly 020.5%

Home Exactly 115.6%

Home Exactly 05.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)54.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away54.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)45.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home45.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)34.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away34.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.9%

Home to win by 3+27.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 119.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 217.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.4%

Away to win by 110.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.2%

Away to win by 25.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.0%

Away to win by 3+3.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.9%

Home & Over 2.557.0%

Home & BTTS45.6%

Home & No BTTS19.4%

Away & Over 2.515.5%

Draw & BTTS15.1%

Away & BTTS14.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.1%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

Home & Under 2.57.9%

Draw & Under 2.56.2%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Away & No BTTS4.2%

Away & Under 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.9%

HT Over 1.560.3%

HT Home Win51.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.7%

HT/FT Home/Home44.7%

HT Under 1.539.7%

HT Both Teams Score37.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.6%

HT Away Win20.2%

Equal Goals Each Half19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.7%

HT Under 0.513.1%

HT/FT Away/Away10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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