USA · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Los Angeles FC 37.8% Draw 24.8% Vancouver Whitecaps 37.4%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Vancouver Whitecaps: 5 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Los Angeles FC

L L W D D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Vancouver Whitecaps

L D W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:10 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Los Angeles FC 0wins ·1 draws ·Vancouver Whitecaps 0wins

Los Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver WhitecapsAug 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Los Angeles FC win37.8%

Draw24.8%

Vancouver Whitecaps win37.4%

Over 1.5 goals87.4%

Over 2.5 goals67.5%

Over 3.5 goals45.8%

Both teams to score69.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.6%

Both Halves Over 0.567.4%

Goal in Both Halves67.4%

Home or Draw (1X)61.4%

Draw or Away (X2)61.0%

Draw No Bet - Home50.2%

Draw No Bet - Away49.8%

Home Win39.0%

Away Win38.6%

Draw22.4%

Exactly 1 Goal10.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.9%

Over 1.5 Goals86.1%

Under 5.5 Goals86.1%

Under 4.5 Goals73.0%

Over 2.5 Goals67.5%

2-4 Goals59.1%

Under 3.5 Goals54.2%

1-3 Goals51.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals45.8%

4+ Goals45.8%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals32.5%

1-2 Goals29.4%

Over 4.5 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.7%

Under 1.5 Goals13.9%

Over 5.5 Goals13.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score82.5%

Away Team to Score82.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.1%

Home Clean Sheet17.7%

Away Clean Sheet17.5%

Home Win to Nil14.6%

Away Win to Nil14.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.582.5%

Away Over 0.582.3%

Home Over 1.552.0%

Away Over 1.551.7%

Away Exactly 130.6%

Home Exactly 130.5%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Home Over 2.525.4%

Home 3+ Goals25.4%

Away Over 2.525.2%

Away 3+ Goals25.2%

Away Exactly 017.7%

Home Exactly 017.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.8%

Home to win by 118.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.7%

Away to win by 118.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.6%

Home to win by 211.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.5%

Away to win by 211.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.5%

Home to win by 3+8.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.4%

Away to win by 3+8.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.6%

Home & Over 2.528.9%

Away & Over 2.528.6%

Home & BTTS24.4%

Away & BTTS24.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.2%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Home & No BTTS14.6%

Away & No BTTS14.4%

Draw & Under 2.512.4%

Home & Under 2.510.1%

Away & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.9%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.1%

HT Under 1.553.6%

HT Over 1.546.4%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

HT Draw35.8%

HT Home Win32.2%

HT Away Win32.0%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score29.4%

HT/FT Home/Home23.7%

HT/FT Away/Away23.4%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT Under 0.520.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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