USA · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Sep 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

Los Angeles Galaxy 63.0% Draw 24.1% Colorado Rapids 12.9%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 13.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Los Angeles Galaxy: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.5%

Exact-score model probability

Los Angeles Galaxy

W D L W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Colorado Rapids

D W D L W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Los Angeles Galaxy win63.0%

Draw24.1%

Colorado Rapids win12.9%

Over 1.5 goals75.3%

Over 2.5 goals49.0%

Over 3.5 goals27.2%

Both teams to score46.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

87.2%

Over 3.5 Cards

87.0%

Home or Draw (1X)

85.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.8%

Draw No Bet - Home81.9%

Home or Away (12)78.5%

Home Win64.3%

Both Halves Over 0.553.2%

Goal in Both Halves53.2%

Draw or Away (X2)35.7%

Draw21.5%

Exactly 1 Goal18.9%

Draw No Bet - Away18.1%

Away Win14.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.8%

Over 0.5 Goals92.8%

Under 4.5 Goals87.2%

Over 1.5 Goals73.9%

Under 3.5 Goals72.8%

1-3 Goals65.7%

2-4 Goals61.2%

Under 2.5 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals49.0%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals36.3%

Over 3.5 Goals27.2%

4+ Goals27.2%

Under 1.5 Goals26.1%

Exactly 2 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Over 4.5 Goals12.8%

Under 0.5 Goals7.2%

Exactly 0 Goals7.2%

Over 5.5 Goals5.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.2%

Away Team to Score52.8%

Home Clean Sheet47.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.8%

Home Win to Nil40.1%

Away Clean Sheet15.2%

Away Win to Nil8.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.8%

Home Over 1.556.2%

Away Over 0.552.8%

Away Exactly 047.2%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Home Over 2.529.2%

Home 3+ Goals29.2%

Home Exactly 128.6%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Over 1.517.3%

Home Exactly 015.2%

Away Exactly 213.3%

Away Over 2.54.0%

Away 3+ Goals4.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)35.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away35.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.6%

Home to win by 125.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 219.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.8%

Home to win by 3+18.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.2%

Away to win by 110.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 23.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.540.8%

Home & No BTTS40.1%

Home & Over 2.538.0%

BTTS & Over 2.534.6%

Home & Under 2.526.3%

Home & BTTS24.2%

Draw & Under 2.517.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.4%

Draw & BTTS14.3%

BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Away & No BTTS8.0%

Away & Under 2.57.4%

Away & Over 2.56.8%

Away & BTTS6.2%

Draw & Over 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.5%

HT Under 1.566.8%

HT Home Win46.1%

2nd Half More Goals43.2%

HT/FT Home/Home41.4%

HT Draw39.9%

HT Over 1.533.2%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.5%

Equal Goals Each Half25.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.3%

HT Both Teams Score16.4%

HT Away Win14.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.8%

HT/FT Away/Away7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners75.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners74.7%

Over 9.5 Corners64.6%

Away Most Corners63.3%

Under 11.5 Corners59.4%

Over 10.5 Corners52.5%

Home Over 4.5 Corners49.1%

Under 10.5 Corners47.5%

Over 11.5 Corners40.6%

Under 9.5 Corners35.4%

Home Most Corners25.8%

Under 8.5 Corners24.3%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards94.8%

Over 3.5 Cards87.0%

Over 4.5 Cards74.7%

Over 5.5 Cards59.4%

Under 5.5 Cards40.6%

Under 4.5 Cards25.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards25.0%

Under 3.5 Cards13.0%

Under 2.5 Cards5.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions