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USA · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution

● LIVE 22' · 1:0
📊 Our Prediction
Away +4.5 (Handicap)
71% confidence
Los Angeles Galaxy 10.7% Draw 18.5% New England Revolution 70.8%
Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 55%
🎯 Best Pick
Draw or Away (X2)
Double chance from Poisson
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
89%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
86%
Away Win
Strongest 1X2 probability
71%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 10.5%, based on the goal model.
Double chance from Poisson
Recent form leans to New England Revolution: 5 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.
Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
0-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
10.5%
Exact-score model probability
Los Angeles Galaxy
L W L D D L
Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33
New England Revolution
W D W L L D
Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Los Angeles Galaxy win10.7%
Draw18.5%
New England Revolution win70.8%
Over 1.5 goals86.0%
Over 2.5 goals65.5%
Over 3.5 goals43.5%
Both teams to score55.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score
91.5%
Away Over 0.5
91.5%
Draw or Away (X2)
88.2%
Match Result (11)
Draw or Away (X2)88.2%
Draw No Bet - Away85.9%
Home or Away (12)83.4%
Away Win71.6%
Both Halves Over 0.565.9%
Goal in Both Halves65.9%
Home or Draw (1X)28.3%
Draw16.5%
Draw No Bet - Home14.1%
Home Win11.7%
Exactly 1 Goal11.6%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals96.5%
Under 5.5 Goals87.5%
Over 1.5 Goals84.9%
Under 4.5 Goals75.0%
Over 2.5 Goals65.4%
2-4 Goals59.9%
Under 3.5 Goals56.5%
1-3 Goals53.0%
Total Goals Even50.0%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
Over 3.5 Goals43.5%
4+ Goals43.5%
2-3 Goals41.4%
3-4 Goals40.4%
Under 2.5 Goals34.6%
1-2 Goals31.1%
Over 4.5 Goals25.0%
Exactly 3 Goals21.9%
Exactly 2 Goals19.5%
Under 1.5 Goals15.1%
Over 5.5 Goals12.5%
Under 0.5 Goals3.5%
Exactly 0 Goals3.4%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score91.5%
Home Team to Score59.4%
Both Teams Score (GG)54.3%
No Both Teams Score (NG)45.7%
Away Clean Sheet40.5%
Away Win to Nil37.1%
Home Clean Sheet8.4%
Home Win to Nil5.0%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.591.5%
Away Over 1.570.6%
Home Over 0.559.4%
Away Over 2.544.8%
Away 3+ Goals44.8%
Home Exactly 040.5%
Home Exactly 136.6%
Away Exactly 225.8%
Home Over 1.522.8%
Away Exactly 120.9%
Home Exactly 216.5%
Away Exactly 08.4%
Home Over 2.56.3%
Home 3+ Goals6.3%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.0%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.2%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.0%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)88.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away88.2%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)85.8%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home85.8%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)71.6%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)71.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home71.2%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)50.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home50.4%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)49.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away49.5%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)28.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away28.7%
Away to win by 3+28.7%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)28.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home28.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.1%
Away to win by 122.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.8%
Away to win by 220.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.6%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.1%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)11.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.1%
Home to win by 18.1%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.8%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.8%
Home to win by 22.8%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.1%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.9%
Home to win by 3+0.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.7%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%
Combos (15)
Away & Over 2.552.7%
BTTS & Over 2.546.7%
Away & No BTTS37.1%
Away & BTTS34.5%
No BTTS & Under 2.526.8%
Away & Under 2.518.9%
No BTTS & Over 2.518.7%
Draw & BTTS13.1%
Draw & Under 2.511.1%
BTTS & Under 2.57.6%
Home & Over 2.57.2%
Home & BTTS6.7%
Draw & Over 2.55.5%
Home & No BTTS5.0%
Home & Under 2.54.5%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.578.1%
HT Under 1.555.2%
HT Away Win53.6%
HT/FT Away/Away49.0%
2nd Half More Goals45.8%
HT Over 1.544.8%
HT Draw33.0%
1st Half More Goals31.8%
HT Both Teams Score22.4%
Equal Goals Each Half22.4%
HT Under 0.521.9%
HT/FT Draw/Away19.3%
HT Home Win13.5%
HT/FT Draw/Draw9.3%
HT/FT Home/Home6.4%
HT/FT Draw/Home4.5%
HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%
HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%
HT/FT Home/Away3.5%
HT/FT Away/Home0.9%
Corners (12)
Over 8.5 Corners85.3%
Over 9.5 Corners76.8%
Away Over 4.5 Corners73.1%
Home Over 4.5 Corners71.5%
Over 10.5 Corners66.6%
Over 11.5 Corners55.3%
Away Most Corners45.6%
Under 11.5 Corners44.7%
Home Most Corners42.8%
Under 10.5 Corners33.4%
Under 9.5 Corners23.2%
Under 8.5 Corners14.7%
Cards (9)
Over 2.5 Cards82.6%
Under 5.5 Cards70.3%
Over 3.5 Cards65.8%
Under 4.5 Cards53.2%
Over 4.5 Cards46.8%
Under 3.5 Cards34.2%
Over 5.5 Cards29.7%
Over 0.5 Red Cards18.0%
Under 2.5 Cards17.4%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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