USA · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers

Kick-off 03:30 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Los Angeles Galaxy 64.7% Draw 17.7% Portland Timbers 17.6%

Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Los Angeles Galaxy: 8 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

Los Angeles Galaxy

D W D L W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:12 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

Portland Timbers

D L L L D W

Form 1-2-3 Goals 11:15 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Los Angeles Galaxy win64.7%

Draw17.7%

Portland Timbers win17.6%

Over 1.5 goals94.1%

Over 2.5 goals81.6%

Over 3.5 goals64.2%

Both teams to score74.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Cards

91.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.4%

Home or Draw (1X)81.5%

Both Halves Over 0.578.6%

Goal in Both Halves78.6%

Draw No Bet - Home78.2%

Home Win65.2%

Draw or Away (X2)34.5%

Draw No Bet - Away21.8%

Away Win18.2%

Draw16.3%

Exactly 1 Goal5.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals81.3%

Under 5.5 Goals72.1%

Over 3.5 Goals64.0%

4+ Goals64.0%

Under 4.5 Goals55.2%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-4 Goals48.3%

Over 4.5 Goals44.8%

3-4 Goals36.5%

Under 3.5 Goals36.0%

1-3 Goals34.5%

2-3 Goals29.2%

Over 5.5 Goals27.9%

Under 2.5 Goals18.7%

Exactly 3 Goals17.4%

1-2 Goals17.2%

Exactly 2 Goals11.8%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.1%

Away Team to Score78.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.3%

Home Clean Sheet21.6%

Home Win to Nil20.4%

Away Clean Sheet5.6%

Away Win to Nil4.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.1%

Away Over 0.578.1%

Home Over 1.578.0%

Home Over 2.554.7%

Home 3+ Goals54.7%

Away Over 1.545.0%

Away Exactly 133.1%

Away Exactly 225.3%

Home Exactly 223.3%

Away Exactly 021.6%

Away Over 2.519.8%

Away 3+ Goals19.8%

Home Exactly 116.1%

Home Exactly 05.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)45.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home45.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)34.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away34.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.8%

Home to win by 3+27.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 119.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 218.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.3%

Away to win by 110.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.0%

Away to win by 25.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.8%

Away to win by 3+2.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.3%

Home & Over 2.556.7%

Home & BTTS44.8%

Home & No BTTS20.4%

Draw & BTTS15.1%

Away & Over 2.514.9%

Away & BTTS13.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.7%

Home & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

Away & No BTTS4.4%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.3%

HT Over 1.559.0%

HT Home Win51.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.5%

HT/FT Home/Home44.8%

HT Under 1.541.0%

HT Both Teams Score36.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.0%

HT Away Win19.8%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.9%

HT Under 0.513.7%

HT/FT Away/Away10.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners81.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners80.3%

Over 9.5 Corners72.3%

Away Most Corners65.6%

Over 10.5 Corners61.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners53.7%

Under 11.5 Corners50.5%

Over 11.5 Corners49.5%

Under 10.5 Corners38.8%

Under 9.5 Corners27.7%

Home Most Corners24.1%

Under 8.5 Corners18.1%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards91.9%

Over 3.5 Cards81.2%

Over 4.5 Cards66.2%

Under 5.5 Cards50.8%

Over 5.5 Cards49.2%

Under 4.5 Cards33.8%

Over 0.5 Red Cards22.5%

Under 3.5 Cards18.8%

Under 2.5 Cards8.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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