USA · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Los Angeles Galaxy 58.5% Draw 21.6% San Diego 19.9%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Los Angeles Galaxy: 11 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.4%

Exact-score model probability

Los Angeles Galaxy

W D W D L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

San Diego

L D L L L W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 10:16 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.67

Head to head · last 1

Los Angeles Galaxy 0wins ·0 draws ·San Diego 1wins

Los Angeles Galaxy 1-3 San DiegoAug 30, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Los Angeles Galaxy win58.5%

Draw21.6%

San Diego win19.9%

Over 1.5 goals88.6%

Over 2.5 goals69.9%

Over 3.5 goals48.7%

Both teams to score66.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.4%

Home or Draw (1X)79.0%

Draw No Bet - Home74.0%

Both Halves Over 0.569.3%

Goal in Both Halves69.3%

Home Win59.5%

Draw or Away (X2)40.4%

Draw No Bet - Away26.0%

Away Win20.9%

Draw19.5%

Exactly 1 Goal9.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.5%

Under 5.5 Goals84.3%

Under 4.5 Goals70.5%

Over 2.5 Goals69.9%

2-4 Goals58.0%

Under 3.5 Goals51.3%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals48.7%

4+ Goals48.7%

1-3 Goals48.6%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals38.8%

Under 2.5 Goals30.1%

Over 4.5 Goals29.5%

1-2 Goals27.4%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 2 Goals17.6%

Over 5.5 Goals15.7%

Under 1.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

Away Team to Score73.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.3%

Home Clean Sheet26.9%

Home Win to Nil24.2%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil7.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Away Over 0.573.0%

Home Over 1.566.8%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Away Over 1.537.7%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Away Exactly 026.9%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 223.2%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Away Over 2.514.6%

Away 3+ Goals14.6%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)37.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home37.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.7%

Home to win by 121.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home20.2%

Home to win by 3+20.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 217.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.4%

Away to win by 112.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.7%

Away to win by 25.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.8%

Away to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.557.6%

Home & Over 2.546.2%

Home & BTTS35.3%

Home & No BTTS24.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.9%

Draw & BTTS16.8%

Away & Over 2.515.1%

Away & BTTS13.6%

Home & Under 2.513.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.3%

Draw & Under 2.510.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.6%

BTTS & Under 2.58.1%

Away & No BTTS7.3%

Away & Under 2.55.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.3%

HT Under 1.551.7%

HT Over 1.548.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

HT Home Win45.7%

HT/FT Home/Home39.0%

HT Draw33.7%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score28.8%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Away Win20.6%

HT Under 0.519.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.6%

HT/FT Away/Away12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners83.7%

Over 9.5 Corners74.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners71.5%

Home Over 4.5 Corners69.8%

Over 10.5 Corners64.0%

Over 11.5 Corners52.4%

Under 11.5 Corners47.6%

Away Most Corners45.6%

Home Most Corners42.7%

Under 10.5 Corners36.0%

Under 9.5 Corners25.3%

Under 8.5 Corners16.3%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards92.6%

Over 3.5 Cards82.5%

Over 4.5 Cards68.0%

Over 5.5 Cards51.3%

Under 5.5 Cards48.7%

Under 4.5 Cards32.0%

Over 0.5 Red Cards23.0%

Under 3.5 Cards17.5%

Under 2.5 Cards7.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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