USA · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes

● LIVE 68' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Los Angeles Galaxy 25.7% Draw 19.3% San Jose Earthquakes 55.0%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to San Jose Earthquakes: 3 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Los Angeles Galaxy

L D D L L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 3:9 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.5

San Jose Earthquakes

L L D L W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 9:16 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.67

Head to head · last 1

Los Angeles Galaxy 0wins ·1 draws ·San Jose Earthquakes 0wins

Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesJul 26, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Los Angeles Galaxy win25.7%

Draw19.3%

San Jose Earthquakes win55.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.1%

Over 2.5 goals84.0%

Over 3.5 goals67.8%

Both teams to score80.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

89.5%

HT Over 0.5

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.9%

Both Halves Over 0.580.7%

Goal in Both Halves80.7%

Draw or Away (X2)73.4%

Draw No Bet - Away67.8%

Away Win55.5%

Home or Draw (1X)44.3%

Draw No Bet - Home32.2%

Home Win26.3%

Draw17.9%

Exactly 1 Goal4.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.3%

Over 2.5 Goals83.8%

Under 5.5 Goals68.3%

Over 3.5 Goals67.6%

4+ Goals67.6%

Under 4.5 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals49.0%

2-4 Goals45.3%

3-4 Goals34.8%

Under 3.5 Goals32.4%

Over 5.5 Goals31.7%

1-3 Goals31.2%

2-3 Goals26.6%

Under 2.5 Goals16.2%

Exactly 3 Goals16.2%

1-2 Goals15.0%

Exactly 2 Goals10.5%

Under 1.5 Goals5.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.3%

Home Team to Score84.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)20.7%

Away Clean Sheet15.0%

Away Win to Nil14.0%

Home Clean Sheet6.5%

Home Win to Nil5.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.3%

Home Over 0.584.8%

Away Over 1.575.4%

Home Over 1.556.4%

Away Over 2.551.1%

Away 3+ Goals51.1%

Home Over 2.529.5%

Home 3+ Goals29.5%

Home Exactly 128.4%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 224.3%

Away Exactly 117.8%

Home Exactly 015.0%

Away Exactly 06.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)78.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home78.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)63.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home63.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)55.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)44.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home44.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)36.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away36.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.8%

Away to win by 3+20.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.9%

Away to win by 118.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 215.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 113.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.6%

Home to win by 27.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.6%

Home to win by 3+5.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.2%

Away & Over 2.549.2%

Away & BTTS41.5%

Home & Over 2.522.7%

Home & BTTS20.8%

Draw & BTTS16.9%

Away & No BTTS14.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.6%

Away & Under 2.56.3%

Draw & Under 2.56.0%

Home & No BTTS5.5%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.5%

HT Over 1.561.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Away Win44.9%

HT Both Teams Score40.6%

HT Under 1.538.4%

HT/FT Away/Away36.9%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.4%

HT Home Win25.7%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT/FT Home/Home15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.0%

HT Under 0.512.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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