USA · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Los Angeles Galaxy 49.8% Draw 28.9% Seattle Sounders 21.3%

Over 2.5 - 45% BTTS - 49%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 13.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Los Angeles Galaxy: 7 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.1%

Exact-score model probability

Los Angeles Galaxy

L W L W L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Seattle Sounders

D D D L L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

Los Angeles Galaxy 1wins ·0 draws ·Seattle Sounders 0wins

Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Seattle SoundersMay 17, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Los Angeles Galaxy win49.8%

Draw28.9%

Seattle Sounders win21.3%

Over 1.5 goals72.0%

Over 2.5 goals44.6%

Over 3.5 goals23.4%

Both teams to score49.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.5%

Under 4.5 Goals

89.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)77.1%

Home or Away (12)74.2%

Draw No Bet - Home69.2%

Home Win51.4%

Both Halves Over 0.549.6%

Goal in Both Halves49.6%

Draw or Away (X2)48.6%

Draw No Bet - Away30.8%

Draw25.8%

Away Win22.9%

Exactly 1 Goal21.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.1%

Over 0.5 Goals91.5%

Under 4.5 Goals89.6%

Under 3.5 Goals76.6%

Over 1.5 Goals70.4%

1-3 Goals68.1%

2-4 Goals60.1%

Under 2.5 Goals55.4%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

2-3 Goals47.0%

1-2 Goals46.9%

Over 2.5 Goals44.6%

3-4 Goals34.2%

Under 1.5 Goals29.6%

Exactly 2 Goals25.9%

Over 3.5 Goals23.4%

4+ Goals23.4%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Over 4.5 Goals10.4%

Under 0.5 Goals8.5%

Exactly 0 Goals8.5%

Over 5.5 Goals3.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score78.4%

Away Team to Score60.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.4%

Home Clean Sheet39.5%

Home Win to Nil31.0%

Away Clean Sheet21.6%

Away Win to Nil13.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.578.4%

Away Over 0.560.5%

Home Over 1.545.3%

Away Exactly 039.5%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 133.1%

Home Exactly 225.4%

Away Over 1.523.8%

Home Exactly 021.6%

Home Over 2.519.9%

Home 3+ Goals19.9%

Away Exactly 217.0%

Away Over 2.56.8%

Away 3+ Goals6.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.9%

Home to win by 124.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 215.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.1%

Away to win by 115.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.8%

Home to win by 3+10.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.8%

Away to win by 25.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.0%

Away to win by 3+2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.543.3%

BTTS & Over 2.535.3%

Home & No BTTS31.0%

Home & Over 2.528.3%

Home & Under 2.523.1%

Draw & Under 2.520.7%

Home & BTTS20.4%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Away & No BTTS13.1%

BTTS & Under 2.512.1%

Away & Under 2.511.6%

Away & Over 2.511.3%

Away & BTTS9.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.6%

HT Over 0.566.9%

HT Draw43.3%

2nd Half More Goals42.4%

HT Home Win37.2%

HT Under 0.533.1%

HT/FT Home/Home31.3%

1st Half More Goals30.6%

HT Over 1.530.4%

Equal Goals Each Half27.0%

HT Away Win19.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.7%

HT Both Teams Score17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.5%

HT/FT Away/Away12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners68.2%

Over 8.5 Corners68.1%

Home Over 4.5 Corners59.5%

Under 10.5 Corners56.7%

Over 9.5 Corners55.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners54.5%

Home Most Corners47.3%

Under 9.5 Corners44.2%

Over 10.5 Corners43.3%

Away Most Corners40.1%

Under 8.5 Corners31.9%

Over 11.5 Corners31.8%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards87.9%

Over 3.5 Cards74.1%

Under 5.5 Cards60.9%

Over 4.5 Cards56.7%

Under 4.5 Cards43.3%

Over 5.5 Cards39.1%

Under 3.5 Cards25.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards20.2%

Under 2.5 Cards12.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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