UEFA Europa Conference League

Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

95% confidence

Ludogorets 0.6% Draw 4.1% Hapoel Tel Aviv 95.3%

Over 2.5 - 80% BTTS - 26%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 23%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 14.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Away +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.5%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

23%

Market does not fully agree

Ludogorets

Form 0-0-1 Goals 0:2 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 2

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Form 1-0-0 Goals 2:0 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0

Head to head · last 1

Ludogorets 0wins ·0 draws ·Hapoel Tel Aviv 1wins

Ludogorets 0-2 Hapoel Tel AvivJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ludogorets win0.6%

Draw4.1%

Hapoel Tel Aviv win95.3%

Over 1.5 goals92.9%

Over 2.5 goals79.8%

Over 3.5 goals61.5%

Both teams to score25.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.7%

Away Over 1.5

88.7%

HT Over 0.5

85.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away99.1%

Draw or Away (X2)97.1%

Home or Away (12)94.3%

Away Win93.5%

Both Halves Over 0.577.5%

Goal in Both Halves77.5%

Exactly 1 Goal5.8%

Home or Draw (1X)4.3%

Draw3.5%

Draw No Bet - Home0.9%

Home Win0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Over 1.5 Goals90.7%

Over 2.5 Goals78.1%

Under 5.5 Goals75.8%

Over 3.5 Goals60.1%

4+ Goals60.1%

Under 4.5 Goals59.2%

2-4 Goals49.9%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Total Goals Odd48.7%

Over 4.5 Goals40.8%

Under 3.5 Goals39.9%

3-4 Goals37.3%

1-3 Goals36.4%

2-3 Goals30.5%

Over 5.5 Goals24.2%

Under 2.5 Goals21.9%

1-2 Goals18.4%

Exactly 3 Goals18.0%

Exactly 2 Goals12.5%

Under 1.5 Goals9.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.1%

Away Clean Sheet72.5%

Away Win to Nil71.1%

Home Team to Score25.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.9%

Home Clean Sheet1.8%

Home Win to Nil0.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.0%

Away Over 1.588.7%

Away Over 2.574.1%

Away 3+ Goals74.1%

Home Exactly 072.5%

Home Over 0.525.4%

Home Exactly 121.7%

Away Exactly 214.7%

Away Exactly 17.3%

Home Over 1.53.6%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Away Exactly 01.8%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away97.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)93.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away84.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)81.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)68.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away68.2%

Away to win by 3+68.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)67.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home67.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)49.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home49.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)48.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away48.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)30.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away30.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)29.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home29.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw19.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw18.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away16.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.9%

Away to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw14.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home13.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 19.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home4.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw0.7%

Home to win by 10.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 20.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.577.2%

Away & No BTTS71.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.554.9%

BTTS & Over 2.523.3%

Away & BTTS22.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.1%

Away & Under 2.516.3%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

Draw & BTTS2.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Draw & Over 2.50.6%

Home & Under 2.50.5%

Home & No BTTS0.5%

Home & Over 2.50.3%

Home & BTTS0.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.5%

HT Away Win79.5%

HT/FT Away/Away78.8%

HT Over 1.557.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

HT Under 1.542.4%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

Equal Goals Each Half19.5%

HT Draw18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.4%

HT Under 0.514.5%

HT Both Teams Score10.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.4%

HT Home Win2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.4%

HT/FT Home/Home0.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.0%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Ludogorets win0%

Draw50%

Hapoel Tel Aviv win50%

AdviceCombo Winner : Hapoel Tel Aviv and -3.5 goals

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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