France · Ligue 1

Lyon vs Angers

Kick-off 17:15 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Lyon 69.4% Draw 20.3% Angers 10.3%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Lyon: 8 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Lyon 4 wins, 1 draws, Angers 0 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

Lyon

L W L D W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Angers

D L L W D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:12 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 5

Lyon 4wins ·1 draws ·Angers 0wins

Lyon 0-0 AngersApr 5, 2026

Lyon 1-0 AngersSep 19, 2025

Lyon 2-0 AngersMay 17, 2025

Lyon 3-0 AngersDec 7, 2024

Lyon 3-1 AngersFeb 25, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lyon win69.4%

Draw20.3%

Angers win10.3%

Over 1.5 goals76.5%

Over 2.5 goals84.6%

Over 3.5 goals29.5%

Both teams to score68.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.8%

Home or Away (12)

88.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

87.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)92.8%

Draw No Bet - Home92.3%

Home or Away (12)88.1%

Home Win81.4%

Both Halves Over 0.573.4%

Goal in Both Halves73.4%

Draw or Away (X2)18.2%

Draw11.4%

Draw No Bet - Away7.7%

Exactly 1 Goal7.7%

Away Win6.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals89.8%

Under 5.5 Goals80.1%

Over 2.5 Goals74.7%

Under 4.5 Goals64.7%

Over 3.5 Goals54.8%

4+ Goals54.8%

2-4 Goals54.6%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals45.2%

1-3 Goals42.8%

3-4 Goals39.4%

Over 4.5 Goals35.3%

2-3 Goals35.0%

Under 2.5 Goals25.3%

1-2 Goals22.9%

Over 5.5 Goals19.9%

Exactly 3 Goals19.9%

Exactly 2 Goals15.2%

Under 1.5 Goals10.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.0%

Away Team to Score56.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)53.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)46.3%

Home Clean Sheet43.3%

Home Win to Nil41.4%

Away Clean Sheet4.5%

Away Win to Nil2.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.0%

Home Over 1.581.0%

Home Over 2.559.4%

Home 3+ Goals59.4%

Away Over 0.556.2%

Away Exactly 043.3%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Home Exactly 221.7%

Away Over 1.520.2%

Away Exactly 215.0%

Home Exactly 114.0%

Away Over 2.55.2%

Away 3+ Goals5.2%

Home Exactly 04.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)81.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away74.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)63.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home63.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)56.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away56.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)42.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home42.6%

Home to win by 3+42.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)36.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away36.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)24.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home24.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 220.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.9%

Away to win by 14.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.5%

Away to win by 21.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.565.9%

BTTS & Over 2.548.6%

Home & No BTTS41.4%

Home & BTTS40.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.526.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.8%

Home & Under 2.515.5%

Draw & BTTS9.4%

Draw & Under 2.57.0%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Away & Over 2.54.5%

Draw & Over 2.54.4%

Away & BTTS4.2%

Away & No BTTS2.5%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.9%

HT Home Win63.0%

HT/FT Home/Home59.7%

HT Over 1.552.8%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Under 1.547.2%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw27.2%

HT Both Teams Score23.5%

Equal Goals Each Half20.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.5%

HT Under 0.517.1%

HT Away Win9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.1%

HT/FT Away/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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