UEFA Europa League

Lyon vs Crystal Palace

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Lyon 50.4% Draw 19.8% Crystal Palace 29.8%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Crystal Palace: 8 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.8%

Exact-score model probability

Lyon

L D W D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Crystal Palace

W D L W W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 12:10 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lyon win50.4%

Draw19.8%

Crystal Palace win29.8%

Over 1.5 goals95.2%

Over 2.5 goals84.2%

Over 3.5 goals68.1%

Both teams to score81.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.4%

HT Over 0.5

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.3%

Both Halves Over 0.580.8%

Goal in Both Halves80.8%

Home or Draw (1X)69.4%

Draw No Bet - Home62.6%

Home Win51.0%

Draw or Away (X2)48.9%

Draw No Bet - Away37.4%

Away Win30.4%

Draw18.5%

Exactly 1 Goal4.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.4%

Over 2.5 Goals84.0%

Over 3.5 Goals68.0%

Under 5.5 Goals68.0%

4+ Goals68.0%

Under 4.5 Goals50.7%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals49.3%

2-4 Goals45.1%

3-4 Goals34.7%

Under 3.5 Goals32.0%

Over 5.5 Goals32.0%

1-3 Goals30.9%

2-3 Goals26.4%

Exactly 3 Goals16.1%

Under 2.5 Goals16.0%

1-2 Goals14.8%

Exactly 2 Goals10.4%

Under 1.5 Goals5.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.5%

Away Team to Score86.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.6%

Home Clean Sheet13.1%

Home Win to Nil12.1%

Away Clean Sheet7.3%

Away Win to Nil6.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.5%

Away Over 0.586.7%

Home Over 1.573.3%

Away Over 1.560.1%

Home Over 2.548.3%

Home 3+ Goals48.3%

Away Over 2.533.1%

Away 3+ Goals33.1%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 126.6%

Home Exactly 225.0%

Home Exactly 119.2%

Away Exactly 013.1%

Home Exactly 07.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.5%

Home to win by 118.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.8%

Home to win by 3+17.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 214.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.4%

Away to win by 114.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.9%

Away to win by 28.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.1%

Away to win by 3+7.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.3%

Home & Over 2.545.2%

Home & BTTS38.8%

Away & Over 2.526.4%

Away & BTTS24.0%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Draw & Over 2.512.4%

Home & No BTTS12.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Away & No BTTS6.4%

Draw & Under 2.56.1%

Home & Under 2.55.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Away & Under 2.53.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.6%

HT Over 1.561.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Home Win41.9%

HT Both Teams Score41.4%

HT Under 1.538.2%

HT/FT Home/Home33.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.7%

HT Away Win28.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT/FT Away/Away18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.2%

HT Under 0.512.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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