France · Ligue 1

Lyon vs Le Havre

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Lyon 64.4% Draw 22.5% Le Havre 13.1%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lyon: 7 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

Lyon

L W D W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Le Havre

L W L D D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Lyon 3wins ·1 draws ·Le Havre 1wins

Lyon 0-0 Le HavreMar 15, 2026

Lyon 1-0 Le HavreDec 14, 2025

Lyon 4-2 Le HavreMar 16, 2025

Lyon 4-0 Le HavreOct 20, 2024

Lyon 1-3 Le HavreJan 14, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lyon win64.4%

Draw22.5%

Le Havre win13.1%

Over 1.5 goals75.6%

Over 2.5 goals90.1%

Over 3.5 goals28.2%

Both teams to score86.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.4%

Home Over 0.5

91.4%

HT Over 0.5

85.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.8%

Both Halves Over 0.578.0%

Goal in Both Halves78.0%

Home or Draw (1X)70.2%

Draw No Bet - Home63.2%

Home Win51.1%

Draw or Away (X2)48.8%

Draw No Bet - Away36.8%

Away Win29.7%

Draw19.1%

Exactly 1 Goal5.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.0%

Over 2.5 Goals80.8%

Under 5.5 Goals73.0%

Over 3.5 Goals63.1%

4+ Goals63.1%

Under 4.5 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals49.2%

Over 4.5 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals37.0%

Under 3.5 Goals36.9%

1-3 Goals35.5%

2-3 Goals29.9%

Over 5.5 Goals27.0%

Under 2.5 Goals19.2%

1-2 Goals17.8%

Exactly 3 Goals17.7%

Exactly 2 Goals12.2%

Under 1.5 Goals7.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.4%

Away Team to Score84.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.5%

Home Clean Sheet15.2%

Home Win to Nil13.9%

Away Clean Sheet8.5%

Away Win to Nil7.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.4%

Away Over 0.584.7%

Home Over 1.570.5%

Away Over 1.556.1%

Home Over 2.544.7%

Home 3+ Goals44.7%

Away Over 2.529.1%

Away 3+ Goals29.1%

Away Exactly 128.6%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Home Exactly 120.9%

Away Exactly 015.2%

Home Exactly 08.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)29.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.1%

Home to win by 119.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.1%

Home to win by 3+17.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 214.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.7%

Away to win by 28.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.4%

Away to win by 3+6.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.5%

Home & Over 2.544.0%

Home & BTTS37.2%

Away & Over 2.525.0%

Away & BTTS22.5%

Draw & BTTS17.8%

Home & No BTTS13.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.1%

Draw & Over 2.511.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.3%

Draw & Under 2.57.3%

Away & No BTTS7.2%

Home & Under 2.57.1%

BTTS & Under 2.56.0%

Away & Under 2.54.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.9%

HT Over 1.558.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.3%

HT Under 1.541.8%

HT Home Win41.5%

HT Both Teams Score38.3%

HT/FT Home/Home33.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.9%

HT Away Win27.6%

Equal Goals Each Half19.4%

HT/FT Away/Away17.9%

HT Under 0.514.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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