UEFA Europa League

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia

Full time · 0:3

📊 Our Prediction

Home Win

90% confidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv 90.0% Draw 8.0% CSKA Sofia 2.0%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 26%

✗ Pick missed (0:3)

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

Strong form

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 48%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring

70%

Home Clean Sheet

Defensive strength

65%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv is in strong form with 2 consecutive wins, scoring 3 goals per game and conceding none. CSKA Sofia has a mixed record with 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 3 matches. Maccabi Tel Aviv's home advantage and high scoring rate make them favorites. With a high expected goals rate, Over 2.5 Goals is a viable option.

💡

Top Tip

Maccabi Tel Aviv's strong defense and high scoring rate make Home Win the top pick

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 15.6%, based on the goal model.

Strong form

Numbers behind this Home Win

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.6%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

48%

Market does not fully agree

Maccabi Tel Aviv

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 6:0 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 0

CSKA Sofia

D D W W

Form 2-2-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 0.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Maccabi Tel Aviv win90.0%

Draw8.0%

CSKA Sofia win2.0%

Over 1.5 goals89.4%

Over 2.5 goals71.3%

Over 3.5 goals51.9%

Both teams to score26.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Win

91.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home98.4%

Home or Draw (1X)97.6%

Home or Away (12)93.4%

Home Win91.9%

Both Halves Over 0.571.6%

Goal in Both Halves71.6%

Exactly 1 Goal8.6%

Draw or Away (X2)7.2%

Draw5.7%

Draw No Bet - Away1.6%

Away Win1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Over 1.5 Goals88.2%

Under 5.5 Goals82.7%

Over 2.5 Goals71.9%

Under 4.5 Goals68.0%

2-4 Goals56.2%

Over 3.5 Goals51.4%

4+ Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Under 3.5 Goals48.6%

1-3 Goals45.4%

3-4 Goals39.9%

2-3 Goals36.8%

Over 4.5 Goals32.0%

Under 2.5 Goals28.1%

1-2 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.5%

Over 5.5 Goals17.3%

Exactly 2 Goals16.3%

Under 1.5 Goals11.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)72.8%

Home Clean Sheet71.0%

Home Win to Nil68.8%

Away Team to Score28.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)27.2%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.585.0%

Away Exactly 071.0%

Home Over 2.566.1%

Home 3+ Goals66.1%

Away Over 0.528.1%

Away Exactly 123.7%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Home Exactly 111.0%

Away Over 1.54.4%

Away Exactly 23.9%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Away Over 2.50.5%

Away 3+ Goals0.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home97.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)91.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)88.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)78.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home78.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away77.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)60.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away60.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)59.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home59.0%

Home to win by 3+59.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)40.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away40.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)38.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home38.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home21.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw20.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)20.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away20.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 219.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.3%

Home to win by 113.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home10.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away7.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.3%

Away to win by 11.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 20.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.570.5%

Home & No BTTS68.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.547.4%

BTTS & Over 2.524.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.6%

Home & BTTS23.1%

Home & Under 2.521.4%

Draw & Under 2.54.9%

Draw & BTTS3.5%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Over 2.50.6%

Away & BTTS0.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.8%

HT Home Win74.0%

HT/FT Home/Home73.0%

HT Over 1.550.7%

HT Under 1.549.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.9%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw22.7%

Equal Goals Each Half21.0%

HT Under 0.518.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.1%

HT Both Teams Score11.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.9%

HT Away Win3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.7%

HT/FT Away/Away0.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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