Spain · La Liga

Malaga vs Levante

Kick-off 17:30 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Malaga 45.5% Draw 25.6% Levante 28.9%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

74%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 11.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Levante: 1 points versus 10 across the last 3 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.9%

Exact-score model probability

Malaga

L D L

Form 0-1-2 Goals 1:7 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 2.33

Levante

W D L L W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Malaga win45.5%

Draw25.6%

Levante win28.9%

Over 1.5 goals73.8%

Over 2.5 goals48.9%

Over 3.5 goals27.0%

Both teams to score48.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Away

92.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)92.8%

Draw No Bet - Away92.0%

Home or Away (12)86.8%

Away Win79.9%

Both Halves Over 0.567.1%

Goal in Both Halves67.1%

Home or Draw (1X)19.9%

Draw13.0%

Exactly 1 Goal10.9%

Draw No Bet - Home8.0%

Home Win7.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Under 5.5 Goals86.5%

Over 1.5 Goals85.7%

Under 4.5 Goals73.6%

Over 2.5 Goals66.9%

2-4 Goals59.3%

Under 3.5 Goals54.8%

1-3 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals45.2%

4+ Goals45.2%

2-3 Goals40.5%

3-4 Goals40.5%

Under 2.5 Goals33.1%

1-2 Goals29.7%

Over 4.5 Goals26.4%

Exactly 3 Goals21.7%

Exactly 2 Goals18.8%

Under 1.5 Goals14.3%

Over 5.5 Goals13.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.7%

Home Team to Score50.5%

Away Clean Sheet49.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.3%

Away Win to Nil46.2%

Home Clean Sheet6.4%

Home Win to Nil3.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.4%

Away Over 1.575.9%

Away Over 2.551.7%

Away 3+ Goals51.7%

Home Over 0.550.5%

Home Exactly 049.3%

Home Exactly 134.8%

Away Exactly 224.2%

Away Exactly 117.5%

Home Over 1.515.7%

Home Exactly 212.3%

Away Exactly 06.4%

Home Over 2.53.5%

Home 3+ Goals3.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away92.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home90.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)79.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)62.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home62.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)59.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away59.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)40.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home40.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)37.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away37.8%

Away to win by 3+37.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.8%

Away to win by 221.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away20.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.3%

Away to win by 120.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home19.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.2%

Home to win by 15.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.4%

Home to win by 21.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.3%

Home to win by 3+0.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.559.3%

Away & No BTTS46.2%

BTTS & Over 2.541.1%

Away & BTTS33.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.525.8%

Away & Under 2.520.6%

Draw & BTTS9.8%

Draw & Under 2.59.3%

BTTS & Under 2.56.1%

Home & Over 2.54.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.7%

Home & BTTS3.7%

Home & No BTTS3.2%

Home & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.9%

HT Away Win60.3%

HT/FT Away/Away57.1%

HT Under 1.553.9%

HT Over 1.546.1%

2nd Half More Goals46.0%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Draw30.2%

Equal Goals Each Half22.1%

HT Under 0.521.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.9%

HT Both Teams Score19.3%

HT Home Win9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.6%

HT/FT Home/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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