Spain · La Liga

Malaga vs Racing Santander

Full time · 1:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Malaga 40.7% Draw 26.6% Racing Santander 32.6%

Over 2.5 - 50% BTTS - 80%

✓ Pick was correct (1:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

75%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 6.8%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Racing Santander: 3 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.8%

Exact-score model probability

Malaga

L D L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 6:12 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

Racing Santander

L W L D L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:16 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Malaga win40.7%

Draw26.6%

Racing Santander win32.6%

Over 1.5 goals75.4%

Over 2.5 goals50.4%

Over 3.5 goals28.4%

Both teams to score80.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

89.0%

HT Over 0.5

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.1%

Both Halves Over 0.581.1%

Goal in Both Halves81.1%

Home or Draw (1X)74.1%

Draw No Bet - Home68.7%

Home Win56.4%

Draw or Away (X2)43.3%

Draw No Bet - Away31.3%

Away Win25.7%

Draw17.7%

Exactly 1 Goal4.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.5%

Over 2.5 Goals84.3%

Over 3.5 Goals68.4%

4+ Goals68.4%

Under 5.5 Goals67.5%

Under 4.5 Goals50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals49.8%

2-4 Goals44.6%

3-4 Goals34.4%

Over 5.5 Goals32.5%

Under 3.5 Goals31.6%

1-3 Goals30.4%

2-3 Goals26.1%

Exactly 3 Goals15.9%

Under 2.5 Goals15.7%

1-2 Goals14.6%

Exactly 2 Goals10.2%

Under 1.5 Goals5.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.5%

Away Team to Score84.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)20.5%

Home Clean Sheet15.0%

Home Win to Nil14.0%

Away Clean Sheet6.2%

Away Win to Nil5.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.5%

Away Over 0.584.8%

Home Over 1.576.3%

Away Over 1.556.4%

Home Over 2.552.3%

Home 3+ Goals52.3%

Away Over 2.529.4%

Away 3+ Goals29.4%

Away Exactly 128.4%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 224.0%

Home Exactly 117.3%

Away Exactly 015.0%

Home Exactly 06.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)43.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away43.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)37.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home37.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.6%

Home to win by 3+21.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 118.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.9%

Away to win by 112.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.4%

Away to win by 27.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.4%

Away to win by 3+5.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.6%

Home & Over 2.550.2%

Home & BTTS42.4%

Away & Over 2.522.2%

Away & BTTS20.4%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

Home & No BTTS14.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.7%

Home & Under 2.56.2%

Draw & Under 2.55.9%

Away & No BTTS5.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.9%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.8%

HT Over 1.562.1%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Home Win45.5%

HT Both Teams Score41.0%

HT Under 1.537.9%

HT/FT Home/Home37.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.1%

HT Away Win25.3%

Equal Goals Each Half18.6%

HT/FT Away/Away15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.1%

HT Under 0.512.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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