UEFA Champions League

Manchester United vs AS Roma

Kick-off 21:00 · Tue, Nov 3

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Manchester United 15.1% Draw 14.9% AS Roma 70.0%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to AS Roma: 2 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.8%

Exact-score model probability

Manchester United

L L L D L D

Form 0-2-4 Goals 3:13 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.17

AS Roma

W W D W W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 21:11 Scored/game 3.5 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Manchester United win15.1%

Draw14.9%

AS Roma win70.0%

Over 1.5 goals96.7%

Over 2.5 goals88.2%

Over 3.5 goals74.6%

Both teams to score79.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.3%

Both Halves Over 0.584.5%

Goal in Both Halves84.5%

Draw or Away (X2)83.7%

Draw No Bet - Away81.9%

Away Win69.9%

Home or Draw (1X)29.2%

Draw No Bet - Home18.1%

Home Win15.4%

Draw13.8%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.4%

Over 2.5 Goals87.5%

Over 3.5 Goals74.0%

4+ Goals74.0%

Under 5.5 Goals60.8%

Over 4.5 Goals56.8%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals43.2%

Over 5.5 Goals39.2%

2-4 Goals38.6%

3-4 Goals30.7%

Under 3.5 Goals26.0%

1-3 Goals24.6%

2-3 Goals21.4%

Exactly 3 Goals13.5%

Under 2.5 Goals12.5%

1-2 Goals11.1%

Exactly 2 Goals7.9%

Under 1.5 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.9%

Home Team to Score80.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.0%

Away Clean Sheet18.5%

Away Win to Nil17.9%

Home Clean Sheet3.3%

Home Win to Nil2.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.9%

Away Over 1.584.7%

Home Over 0.580.6%

Away Over 2.565.5%

Away 3+ Goals65.5%

Home Over 1.549.6%

Home Exactly 131.1%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Home Over 2.523.5%

Home 3+ Goals23.5%

Away Exactly 219.1%

Home Exactly 018.5%

Away Exactly 111.2%

Away Exactly 03.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home89.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away83.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)69.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)64.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home64.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)52.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away52.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)46.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home46.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)34.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away34.7%

Away to win by 3+34.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)29.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home29.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away20.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 217.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.5%

Away to win by 117.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.6%

Home to win by 18.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.3%

Home to win by 24.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.5%

Home to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.5%

Away & Over 2.564.2%

Away & BTTS52.0%

Away & No BTTS17.9%

Home & Over 2.513.5%

Draw & BTTS13.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.0%

Home & BTTS12.7%

Draw & Over 2.59.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.2%

Away & Under 2.55.7%

Draw & Under 2.54.1%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Home & No BTTS2.7%

Home & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.9%

HT Over 1.566.8%

HT Away Win56.0%

HT/FT Away/Away50.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT Both Teams Score41.6%

HT Under 1.533.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.7%

HT Home Win18.3%

Equal Goals Each Half17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.4%

HT Under 0.510.1%

HT/FT Home/Home8.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Home/Away5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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