England · Premier League

Manchester United vs Ipswich

Kick-off 16:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

76% confidence

Manchester United 75.5% Draw 16.2% Ipswich 8.2%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

92%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Manchester United: 13 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Manchester United

L W W D W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Ipswich

W W W L L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 2

Manchester United 1wins ·1 draws ·Ipswich 0wins

Manchester United 3-2 IpswichFeb 26, 2025

Manchester United 1-1 IpswichNov 24, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Manchester United win75.5%

Draw16.2%

Ipswich win8.2%

Over 1.5 goals84.7%

Over 2.5 goals93.9%

Over 3.5 goals42.0%

Both teams to score78.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

87.8%

Home or Draw (1X)

86.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.6%

Home or Away (12)86.5%

Draw No Bet - Home85.9%

Both Halves Over 0.585.1%

Goal in Both Halves85.1%

Home Win74.4%

Draw or Away (X2)24.4%

Draw No Bet - Away14.1%

Draw12.3%

Away Win12.2%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals95.3%

Over 2.5 Goals87.8%

Over 3.5 Goals74.7%

4+ Goals74.7%

Under 5.5 Goals59.7%

Over 4.5 Goals57.8%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 4.5 Goals42.2%

Over 5.5 Goals40.3%

2-4 Goals37.5%

3-4 Goals29.9%

Under 3.5 Goals25.3%

1-3 Goals23.5%

2-3 Goals20.6%

Exactly 3 Goals13.0%

Under 2.5 Goals12.2%

1-2 Goals10.5%

Exactly 2 Goals7.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score77.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)24.2%

Home Clean Sheet20.9%

Home Win to Nil20.3%

Away Clean Sheet2.7%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.586.5%

Away Over 0.577.9%

Home Over 2.568.9%

Home 3+ Goals68.9%

Away Over 1.545.5%

Away Exactly 132.4%

Away Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 020.9%

Away Over 2.520.3%

Away 3+ Goals20.3%

Home Exactly 217.5%

Home Exactly 19.7%

Home Exactly 02.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)74.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away74.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)58.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away58.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)57.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home57.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)41.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away41.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)39.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home39.9%

Home to win by 3+39.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)24.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away24.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)24.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home24.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 217.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 116.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 17.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.3%

Away to win by 23.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.8%

Away to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.6%

Home & Over 2.568.6%

Home & BTTS54.1%

Home & No BTTS20.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.1%

Draw & BTTS11.7%

Away & Over 2.510.6%

Away & BTTS10.1%

Draw & Over 2.58.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Home & Under 2.55.7%

Draw & Under 2.53.7%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Away & Under 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.3%

HT Over 1.567.6%

HT Home Win59.8%

HT/FT Home/Home54.7%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT Both Teams Score40.5%

HT Under 1.532.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw24.4%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT Away Win15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.6%

HT Under 0.59.7%

HT/FT Away/Away6.9%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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