England · League Cup

Mansfield Town vs Sheffield Utd

Kick-off 16:00 · Sun, Aug 9

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

82% confidence

Mansfield Town 82.0% Draw 12.0% Sheffield Utd 6.0%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High scoring expected

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Mansfield home advantage

88%

Both Teams Score (GG)

Sheffield Utd conceding rate

82%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Mansfield Town has a significant home advantage, with Sheffield Utd struggling in recent form. The expected goals suggest a high-scoring match, with Mansfield Town averaging 3.441 xG. Sheffield Utd's poor defensive record, conceding 2.8 goals per game, increases the likelihood of a home win. With Mansfield's strong attacking threat and Sheffield Utd's vulnerability, the match is likely to see multiple goals. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring potential of the match.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 94.6% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring expected

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

94.6%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Sheffield Utd high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Mansfield Town

No recent results stored yet

Sheffield Utd

W L L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 6:17 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Mansfield Town win82.0%

Draw12.0%

Sheffield Utd win6.0%

Over 1.5 goals94.6%

Over 2.5 goals84.0%

Over 3.5 goals66.2%

Both teams to score66.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.1%

Draw No Bet - Home90.9%

Home or Away (12)88.1%

Home Win80.1%

Both Halves Over 0.579.9%

Goal in Both Halves79.9%

Draw or Away (X2)19.0%

Draw11.0%

Draw No Bet - Away9.1%

Away Win8.0%

Exactly 1 Goal4.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals93.2%

Over 2.5 Goals82.2%

Under 5.5 Goals70.5%

Over 3.5 Goals65.6%

4+ Goals65.6%

Under 4.5 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Over 4.5 Goals46.7%

2-4 Goals46.5%

3-4 Goals35.5%

Under 3.5 Goals34.4%

1-3 Goals32.5%

Over 5.5 Goals29.5%

2-3 Goals27.6%

Under 2.5 Goals17.8%

Exactly 3 Goals16.6%

1-2 Goals15.8%

Exactly 2 Goals11.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score66.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.0%

Home Clean Sheet33.0%

Home Win to Nil31.9%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.584.9%

Away Over 0.566.1%

Home Over 2.565.9%

Home 3+ Goals65.9%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Away Exactly 033.0%

Away Over 1.529.8%

Away Exactly 220.0%

Home Exactly 219.0%

Home Exactly 111.0%

Away Over 2.59.9%

Away 3+ Goals9.9%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)80.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away72.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)63.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home63.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away54.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)44.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home44.3%

Home to win by 3+44.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)35.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away35.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)27.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home27.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 219.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home14.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.3%

Away to win by 15.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.0%

Away to win by 22.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.570.1%

BTTS & Over 2.559.9%

Home & BTTS48.2%

Home & No BTTS31.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.522.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.9%

Home & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & BTTS9.9%

Away & Over 2.56.2%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Away & BTTS5.9%

Draw & Under 2.55.1%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Away & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.0%

HT Home Win63.4%

HT Over 1.560.6%

HT/FT Home/Home59.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.7%

HT Under 1.539.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score30.7%

HT Draw25.0%

Equal Goals Each Half18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.0%

HT Under 0.513.0%

HT Away Win11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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