Italy · Serie B

Mantova vs Cremonese

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Oct 27

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Mantova 32.6% Draw 18.1% Cremonese 49.3%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.8%

Exact-score model probability

Mantova

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 3.5

Cremonese

L W W L L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Mantova win32.6%

Draw18.1%

Cremonese win49.3%

Over 1.5 goals97.6%

Over 2.5 goals90.8%

Over 3.5 goals79.1%

Both teams to score87.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.4%

Home Team to Score

91.1%

Home Over 0.5

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.8%

Goal in Both Halves86.8%

Home or Away (12)82.4%

Draw or Away (X2)66.7%

Draw No Bet - Away60.1%

Home or Draw (1X)50.1%

Away Win49.5%

Draw No Bet - Home39.9%

Home Win32.9%

Draw17.2%

Exactly 1 Goal2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.7%

Over 2.5 Goals90.3%

Over 3.5 Goals78.7%

4+ Goals78.7%

Over 4.5 Goals62.9%

Under 5.5 Goals54.4%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals45.6%

Under 4.5 Goals37.1%

2-4 Goals33.9%

3-4 Goals27.5%

Under 3.5 Goals21.3%

1-3 Goals20.4%

2-3 Goals18.0%

Exactly 3 Goals11.6%

Under 2.5 Goals9.7%

1-2 Goals8.8%

Exactly 2 Goals6.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.3%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.4%

Home Team to Score91.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.6%

Away Clean Sheet8.5%

Away Win to Nil8.0%

Home Clean Sheet5.1%

Home Win to Nil4.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.4%

Home Over 0.591.1%

Away Over 1.579.3%

Home Over 1.570.2%

Away Over 2.556.7%

Away 3+ Goals56.7%

Home Over 2.544.5%

Home 3+ Goals44.5%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Away Exactly 222.6%

Home Exactly 120.9%

Away Exactly 115.2%

Home Exactly 08.5%

Away Exactly 05.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)67.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home67.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)66.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away66.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)49.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)32.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away32.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.7%

Away to win by 3+18.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 117.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 114.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 213.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.5%

Home to win by 29.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.3%

Home to win by 3+9.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.2%

Away & Over 2.546.3%

Away & BTTS41.5%

Home & Over 2.530.5%

Home & BTTS28.2%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

Draw & Over 2.513.6%

Away & No BTTS8.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.0%

Home & No BTTS4.7%

Draw & Under 2.53.6%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.4%

HT Over 1.570.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.5%

HT Both Teams Score49.5%

HT Away Win41.9%

HT/FT Away/Away32.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win31.0%

HT Under 1.529.8%

HT Draw27.1%

HT/FT Home/Home20.5%

Equal Goals Each Half17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.0%

HT Under 0.58.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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