Italy · Serie B

Mantova vs Empoli

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

62% confidence

Mantova 24.0% Draw 13.7% Empoli 62.3%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 94%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

94%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Empoli win at 62.3%.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Mantova win

24%

1X2 model probability

Draw

13.7%

1X2 model probability

Empoli win

62.3%

1X2 model probability

Mantova

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 3.5

Empoli

D W L W W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Mantova win24.0%

Draw13.7%

Empoli win62.3%

Over 1.5 goals99.6%

Over 2.5 goals97.9%

Over 3.5 goals94.0%

Both teams to score94.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

Home Team to Score

91.0%

Home Over 0.5

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.595.1%

Goal in Both Halves95.1%

Home or Away (12)82.6%

Draw or Away (X2)72.5%

Draw No Bet - Away72.1%

Away Win59.6%

Home or Draw (1X)36.0%

Draw No Bet - Home27.9%

Home Win23.1%

Draw12.9%

Exactly 1 Goal0.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.1%

Over 2.5 Goals93.6%

Over 3.5 Goals89.8%

4+ Goals89.8%

Over 4.5 Goals82.6%

Over 5.5 Goals71.8%

Total Goals Odd47.8%

Total Goals Even47.8%

Under 5.5 Goals28.2%

Under 4.5 Goals17.4%

2-4 Goals12.5%

3-4 Goals11.0%

Under 3.5 Goals10.2%

Under 2.5 Goals6.4%

1-3 Goals5.7%

2-3 Goals5.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.5%

Exactly 3 Goals3.8%

1-2 Goals1.9%

Exactly 2 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.5%

Home Team to Score91.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.1%

Away Clean Sheet4.6%

Away Win to Nil4.6%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.5%

Home Over 0.591.0%

Away Over 1.589.5%

Away Over 2.578.3%

Away 3+ Goals78.3%

Home Over 1.577.0%

Home Over 2.555.7%

Home 3+ Goals55.7%

Home Exactly 221.2%

Home Exactly 114.0%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 04.6%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home85.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)77.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home77.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)72.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away72.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)64.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home64.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)59.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)50.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home50.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)45.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away45.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)36.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home36.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)30.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away30.7%

Away to win by 3+30.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)23.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away18.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 214.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.9%

Home to win by 19.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.7%

Home to win by 3+6.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.5%

Home to win by 26.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.2%

Away & Over 2.558.8%

Away & BTTS55.0%

Home & Over 2.522.6%

Home & BTTS22.0%

Draw & BTTS12.9%

Draw & Over 2.512.2%

Away & No BTTS4.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.2%

Home & No BTTS1.1%

Draw & Under 2.50.8%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

BTTS & Under 2.50.7%

Home & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.6%

HT Over 1.585.2%

HT Both Teams Score64.6%

2nd Half More Goals53.4%

HT Away Win52.7%

HT/FT Away/Away44.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Home Win25.8%

HT Draw21.5%

HT Under 1.514.8%

HT/FT Home/Home14.4%

Equal Goals Each Half14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.9%

HT/FT Home/Away6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT Under 0.53.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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