Italy · Serie B

Mantova vs Hellas Verona

Kick-off 17:15 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Mantova 41.3% Draw 22.1% Hellas Verona 36.6%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.3%

Exact-score model probability

Mantova

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 3.5

Hellas Verona

L D L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Mantova win41.3%

Draw22.1%

Hellas Verona win36.6%

Over 1.5 goals92.6%

Over 2.5 goals77.8%

Over 3.5 goals58.9%

Both teams to score76.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.6%

Both Halves Over 0.575.6%

Goal in Both Halves75.6%

Home or Draw (1X)62.6%

Draw or Away (X2)57.7%

Draw No Bet - Home53.0%

Draw No Bet - Away47.0%

Home Win42.2%

Away Win37.4%

Draw20.3%

Exactly 1 Goal6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.6%

Over 2.5 Goals77.8%

Under 5.5 Goals76.7%

Under 4.5 Goals60.7%

Over 3.5 Goals58.8%

4+ Goals58.8%

2-4 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals41.2%

1-3 Goals39.5%

Over 4.5 Goals39.3%

3-4 Goals38.5%

2-3 Goals32.8%

Over 5.5 Goals23.3%

Under 2.5 Goals22.2%

1-2 Goals20.5%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.8%

Under 1.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.0%

Away Team to Score86.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)24.0%

Home Clean Sheet13.6%

Away Clean Sheet12.0%

Home Win to Nil12.0%

Away Win to Nil10.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.0%

Away Over 0.586.3%

Home Over 1.562.6%

Away Over 1.559.2%

Home Over 2.535.6%

Home 3+ Goals35.6%

Away Over 2.532.2%

Away 3+ Goals32.2%

Away Exactly 127.1%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.4%

Away Exactly 013.6%

Home Exactly 012.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 118.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.1%

Away to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.5%

Home to win by 212.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.5%

Home to win by 3+11.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.1%

Away to win by 211.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.2%

Away to win by 3+9.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.1%

Home & Over 2.535.1%

Away & Over 2.530.9%

Home & BTTS30.2%

Away & BTTS27.0%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.2%

Home & No BTTS12.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.8%

Away & No BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Under 2.58.5%

Home & Under 2.57.1%

BTTS & Under 2.56.9%

Away & Under 2.56.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.3%

HT Over 1.555.3%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.7%

HT Both Teams Score36.4%

HT Home Win35.4%

HT Draw32.3%

HT Away Win32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT/FT Home/Home26.4%

HT/FT Away/Away23.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT Under 0.515.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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