Italy · Serie B

Mantova vs Palermo

Kick-off 16:15 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

61% confidence

Mantova 25.0% Draw 14.0% Palermo 61.0%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 94%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

93%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Palermo win at 61.0%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Mantova win

25%

1X2 model probability

Draw

14%

1X2 model probability

Palermo win

61%

1X2 model probability

Mantova

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 3.5

Palermo

W L L W

Form 2-0-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Mantova win25.0%

Draw14.0%

Palermo win61.0%

Over 1.5 goals99.6%

Over 2.5 goals97.7%

Over 3.5 goals93.4%

Both teams to score94.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.4%

Home Over 0.5

91.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.8%

Goal in Both Halves94.8%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Draw or Away (X2)72.0%

Draw No Bet - Away70.9%

Away Win58.7%

Home or Draw (1X)37.4%

Draw No Bet - Home29.1%

Home Win24.1%

Draw13.3%

Exactly 1 Goal0.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.6%

Over 2.5 Goals93.9%

Over 3.5 Goals89.8%

4+ Goals89.8%

Over 4.5 Goals82.1%

Over 5.5 Goals70.8%

Total Goals Odd48.1%

Total Goals Even48.1%

Under 5.5 Goals29.2%

Under 4.5 Goals17.9%

2-4 Goals13.5%

3-4 Goals11.8%

Under 3.5 Goals10.2%

1-3 Goals6.3%

Under 2.5 Goals6.1%

2-3 Goals5.8%

Under 1.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 3 Goals4.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.9%

1-2 Goals2.1%

Exactly 2 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score91.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.8%

Away Clean Sheet4.7%

Away Win to Nil4.7%

Home Clean Sheet1.3%

Home Win to Nil1.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 0.591.4%

Away Over 1.589.4%

Away Over 2.577.4%

Away 3+ Goals77.4%

Home Over 1.577.2%

Home Over 2.555.7%

Home 3+ Goals55.7%

Home Exactly 221.5%

Home Exactly 114.2%

Away Exactly 212.0%

Away Exactly 15.5%

Home Exactly 04.7%

Away Exactly 01.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home78.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)72.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away72.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)66.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home66.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)58.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)52.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home52.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)43.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away43.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)29.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away29.6%

Away to win by 3+29.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)24.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 114.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 214.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 110.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.1%

Home to win by 3+7.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.8%

Home to win by 26.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.4%

Away & Over 2.557.9%

Away & BTTS54.1%

Home & Over 2.523.6%

Home & BTTS22.9%

Draw & BTTS13.2%

Draw & Over 2.512.4%

Away & No BTTS4.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.4%

Home & No BTTS1.2%

Draw & Under 2.50.9%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

BTTS & Under 2.50.8%

Home & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.4%

HT Over 1.584.4%

HT Both Teams Score63.9%

2nd Half More Goals53.2%

HT Away Win51.7%

HT/FT Away/Away43.5%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Home Win26.4%

HT Draw21.9%

HT Under 1.515.6%

HT/FT Home/Home15.1%

Equal Goals Each Half14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.9%

HT/FT Home/Away6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT Under 0.53.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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