Portugal · Primeira Liga

Maritimo vs Academico Viseu

Kick-off 15:30 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Maritimo 47.1% Draw 27.4% Academico Viseu 25.5%

Over 2.5 - 37% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.4%

Exact-score model probability

Maritimo

W W W L L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Academico Viseu

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Maritimo win47.1%

Draw27.4%

Academico Viseu win25.5%

Over 1.5 goals63.2%

Over 2.5 goals36.9%

Over 3.5 goals17.5%

Both teams to score65.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.0%

Home Over 0.5

91.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)81.7%

Home or Away (12)81.4%

Draw No Bet - Home77.6%

Both Halves Over 0.569.9%

Goal in Both Halves69.9%

Home Win63.2%

Draw or Away (X2)36.7%

Draw No Bet - Away22.4%

Draw18.5%

Away Win18.2%

Exactly 1 Goal9.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.9%

Under 5.5 Goals83.7%

Over 2.5 Goals70.6%

Under 4.5 Goals69.7%

2-4 Goals57.6%

Under 3.5 Goals50.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals49.6%

4+ Goals49.6%

1-3 Goals47.8%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.3%

Over 4.5 Goals30.3%

Under 2.5 Goals29.4%

1-2 Goals26.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 2 Goals17.3%

Over 5.5 Goals16.3%

Under 1.5 Goals12.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.0%

Away Team to Score71.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.4%

Home Clean Sheet28.9%

Home Win to Nil26.3%

Away Clean Sheet8.9%

Away Win to Nil6.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.0%

Away Over 0.571.0%

Home Over 1.569.4%

Home Over 2.543.3%

Home 3+ Goals43.3%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.535.1%

Away Exactly 028.9%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Away Exactly 222.2%

Home Exactly 121.6%

Away Over 2.512.9%

Away 3+ Goals12.9%

Home Exactly 08.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)63.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)36.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away36.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.1%

Home to win by 3+23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.6%

Home to win by 121.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.5%

Home to win by 218.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.1%

Away to win by 111.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.9%

Away to win by 24.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.2%

Away to win by 3+2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.556.9%

Home & Over 2.549.4%

Home & BTTS36.9%

Home & No BTTS26.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.6%

Draw & BTTS15.9%

Home & Under 2.513.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.7%

Away & Over 2.513.0%

Away & BTTS11.9%

Draw & Under 2.510.3%

Draw & Over 2.58.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.7%

Away & No BTTS6.4%

Away & Under 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.7%

HT Under 1.551.1%

HT Over 1.548.9%

HT Home Win48.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

HT/FT Home/Home42.1%

HT Draw32.9%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score28.3%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Under 0.519.3%

HT Away Win18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.2%

HT/FT Away/Away10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions