England · Championship

Middlesbrough vs West Brom

Kick-off 12:30 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Middlesbrough 50.3% Draw 23.1% West Brom 26.6%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.73 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.9%

Exact-score model probability

Middlesbrough

W L W W L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

West Brom

L W W W L

Form 3-0-2 Goals 12:8 Scored/game 2.4 Conceded/game 1.6

📈 Probability Breakdown

Middlesbrough win50.3%

Draw23.1%

West Brom win26.6%

Over 1.5 goals89.1%

Over 2.5 goals70.7%

Over 3.5 goals49.7%

Both teams to score70.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

88.0%

Home Over 0.5

88.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.1%

Home or Draw (1X)72.2%

Both Halves Over 0.569.9%

Goal in Both Halves69.9%

Draw No Bet - Home65.0%

Home Win51.4%

Draw or Away (X2)48.6%

Draw No Bet - Away35.0%

Away Win27.7%

Draw20.9%

Exactly 1 Goal9.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals87.9%

Under 5.5 Goals83.7%

Over 2.5 Goals70.7%

Under 4.5 Goals69.6%

2-4 Goals57.5%

Under 3.5 Goals50.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals49.6%

4+ Goals49.6%

1-3 Goals47.7%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.3%

Over 4.5 Goals30.4%

Under 2.5 Goals29.3%

1-2 Goals26.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 2 Goals17.3%

Over 5.5 Goals16.3%

Under 1.5 Goals12.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.0%

Away Team to Score78.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.0%

Home Clean Sheet21.6%

Home Win to Nil19.1%

Away Clean Sheet11.9%

Away Win to Nil9.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.0%

Away Over 0.578.3%

Home Over 1.562.7%

Away Over 1.545.2%

Home Over 2.535.7%

Home 3+ Goals35.7%

Away Exactly 133.1%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.4%

Away Exactly 225.3%

Away Exactly 021.6%

Away Over 2.519.9%

Away 3+ Goals19.9%

Home Exactly 011.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.8%

Home to win by 120.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.2%

Home to win by 3+15.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 115.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.0%

Away to win by 28.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.8%

Away to win by 3+4.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.560.6%

Home & Over 2.540.1%

Home & BTTS32.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.9%

Away & Over 2.520.7%

Home & No BTTS19.1%

Away & BTTS18.4%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

Home & Under 2.511.3%

Draw & Under 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.1%

Draw & Over 2.59.9%

Away & No BTTS9.3%

BTTS & Under 2.58.4%

Away & Under 2.57.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.7%

HT Under 1.551.0%

HT Over 1.549.0%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

HT Home Win40.4%

HT Draw34.3%

HT/FT Home/Home32.8%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score30.7%

HT Away Win25.3%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Under 0.519.3%

HT/FT Away/Away16.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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