England · Championship

Middlesbrough vs Wolves

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

45% confidence

Middlesbrough 45.1% Draw 16.2% Wolves 38.7%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 99.3% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Wolves: 9 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

99.3%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Middlesbrough high-scoring games

66.7%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Wolves high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Middlesbrough

D D W L W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 10:11 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Wolves

W W D L W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Middlesbrough win45.1%

Draw16.2%

Wolves win38.7%

Over 1.5 goals99.3%

Over 2.5 goals96.4%

Over 3.5 goals90.3%

Both teams to score93.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.592.9%

Goal in Both Halves92.9%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Home or Draw (1X)60.2%

Draw or Away (X2)53.8%

Draw No Bet - Home53.8%

Draw No Bet - Away46.2%

Home Win44.6%

Away Win38.2%

Draw15.6%

Exactly 1 Goal0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals94.8%

Over 3.5 Goals88.9%

4+ Goals88.9%

Over 4.5 Goals78.8%

Over 5.5 Goals65.1%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Under 5.5 Goals34.9%

Under 4.5 Goals21.2%

2-4 Goals18.7%

3-4 Goals16.1%

Under 3.5 Goals11.1%

1-3 Goals9.4%

2-3 Goals8.6%

Exactly 3 Goals6.0%

Under 2.5 Goals5.2%

1-2 Goals3.4%

Exactly 2 Goals2.6%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score94.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.3%

Home Clean Sheet3.8%

Home Win to Nil3.7%

Away Clean Sheet3.0%

Away Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Away Over 0.594.6%

Home Over 1.584.8%

Away Over 1.582.3%

Home Over 2.566.3%

Home 3+ Goals66.3%

Away Over 2.562.2%

Away 3+ Goals62.2%

Away Exactly 220.1%

Home Exactly 218.4%

Away Exactly 112.3%

Home Exactly 110.6%

Away Exactly 03.8%

Home Exactly 03.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)44.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.6%

Home to win by 3+17.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 114.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.9%

Away to win by 113.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.7%

Away to win by 3+13.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.1%

Home to win by 212.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.6%

Away to win by 210.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.4%

Home & Over 2.543.5%

Home & BTTS40.9%

Away & Over 2.537.2%

Away & BTTS35.3%

Draw & BTTS15.5%

Draw & Over 2.514.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.5%

Home & No BTTS3.7%

Away & No BTTS2.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.2%

Draw & Under 2.51.4%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Home & Under 2.51.1%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.2%

HT Over 1.580.7%

HT Both Teams Score61.0%

2nd Half More Goals52.5%

HT Home Win40.1%

HT Away Win35.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT/FT Home/Home29.9%

HT/FT Away/Away25.0%

HT Draw24.1%

HT Under 1.519.3%

Equal Goals Each Half15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.9%

HT/FT Away/Home5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away5.0%

HT Under 0.54.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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