England · Championship

Millwall vs Lincoln

Kick-off 12:30 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Millwall 47.2% Draw 23.5% Lincoln 29.3%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lincoln: 5 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Millwall

L W D D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Lincoln

L L L W W L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 3:15 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Millwall win47.2%

Draw23.5%

Lincoln win29.3%

Over 1.5 goals88.9%

Over 2.5 goals70.3%

Over 3.5 goals49.2%

Both teams to score70.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

87.7%

Home Team to Score

87.0%

Home Over 0.5

87.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.7%

Home or Draw (1X)69.6%

Both Halves Over 0.569.6%

Goal in Both Halves69.6%

Draw No Bet - Home61.4%

Draw or Away (X2)51.6%

Home Win48.3%

Draw No Bet - Away38.6%

Away Win30.3%

Draw21.3%

Exactly 1 Goal9.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.7%

Under 5.5 Goals84.0%

Over 2.5 Goals70.3%

Under 4.5 Goals70.0%

2-4 Goals57.8%

Under 3.5 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals49.2%

4+ Goals49.2%

1-3 Goals48.2%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.6%

Over 4.5 Goals30.0%

Under 2.5 Goals29.7%

1-2 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Exactly 2 Goals17.4%

Over 5.5 Goals16.0%

Under 1.5 Goals12.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.0%

Away Team to Score79.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.7%

Home Clean Sheet20.3%

Home Win to Nil17.7%

Away Clean Sheet13.0%

Away Win to Nil10.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.0%

Away Over 0.579.6%

Home Over 1.560.5%

Away Over 1.547.2%

Home Over 2.533.4%

Home 3+ Goals33.4%

Away Exactly 132.4%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 126.5%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Away Over 2.521.4%

Away 3+ Goals21.4%

Away Exactly 020.3%

Home Exactly 013.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 120.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.9%

Away to win by 115.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 214.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.4%

Home to win by 3+13.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.8%

Away to win by 28.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.6%

Away to win by 3+5.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.560.7%

Home & Over 2.537.4%

Home & BTTS30.6%

Away & Over 2.522.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.1%

Away & BTTS20.0%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

Home & No BTTS17.7%

Draw & Under 2.511.2%

Home & Under 2.510.9%

Away & No BTTS10.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.6%

BTTS & Under 2.58.6%

Away & Under 2.57.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.5%

HT Under 1.551.4%

HT Over 1.548.6%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

HT Home Win38.4%

HT Draw34.6%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score30.7%

HT/FT Home/Home30.5%

HT Away Win27.0%

Equal Goals Each Half21.5%

HT Under 0.519.5%

HT/FT Away/Away18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions