England · Championship

Millwall vs West Ham

Kick-off 12:30 · Sat, Sep 19

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Millwall 30.1% Draw 16.9% West Ham 53.0%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

89%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to West Ham: 4 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.6%

Exact-score model probability

Millwall

D L L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 8:14 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.33

West Ham

W W W W D W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 21:6 Scored/game 3.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Millwall win30.1%

Draw16.9%

West Ham win53.0%

Over 1.5 goals98.4%

Over 2.5 goals93.1%

Over 3.5 goals83.5%

Both teams to score89.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.6%

Home Over 0.5

91.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.2%

Goal in Both Halves89.2%

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Draw or Away (X2)69.0%

Draw No Bet - Away63.7%

Away Win52.8%

Home or Draw (1X)46.3%

Draw No Bet - Home36.3%

Home Win30.2%

Draw16.2%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals97.2%

Over 2.5 Goals92.4%

Over 3.5 Goals82.9%

4+ Goals82.9%

Over 4.5 Goals68.9%

Over 5.5 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 5.5 Goals47.5%

Under 4.5 Goals31.1%

2-4 Goals28.3%

3-4 Goals23.5%

Under 3.5 Goals17.1%

1-3 Goals16.0%

2-3 Goals14.4%

Exactly 3 Goals9.5%

Under 2.5 Goals7.6%

1-2 Goals6.5%

Exactly 2 Goals4.9%

Under 1.5 Goals2.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.5%

Home Team to Score91.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.8%

Away Clean Sheet7.6%

Away Win to Nil7.3%

Home Clean Sheet3.7%

Home Win to Nil3.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 0.591.6%

Away Over 1.583.3%

Home Over 1.572.0%

Away Over 2.563.3%

Away 3+ Goals63.3%

Home Over 2.546.9%

Home 3+ Goals46.9%

Home Exactly 225.1%

Away Exactly 220.1%

Home Exactly 119.5%

Away Exactly 112.2%

Home Exactly 07.6%

Away Exactly 03.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)77.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home77.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)69.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away69.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)63.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home63.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)36.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away36.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)30.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away21.9%

Away to win by 3+21.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.7%

Away to win by 116.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 214.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.0%

Home to win by 113.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.7%

Home to win by 28.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.5%

Home to win by 3+8.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.585.8%

Away & Over 2.550.4%

Away & BTTS45.5%

Home & Over 2.528.5%

Home & BTTS26.8%

Draw & BTTS15.9%

Draw & Over 2.513.5%

Away & No BTTS7.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Home & No BTTS3.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.7%

Away & Under 2.52.5%

BTTS & Under 2.52.4%

Home & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.9%

HT Over 1.574.0%

HT Both Teams Score53.0%

2nd Half More Goals51.2%

HT Away Win44.7%

HT/FT Away/Away35.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win29.5%

HT Under 1.526.0%

HT Draw25.7%

HT/FT Home/Home18.8%

Equal Goals Each Half16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.7%

HT Under 0.57.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.9%

HT/FT Home/Away5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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