England · FA Cup

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

56% confidence

Milton Keynes Dons 29.4% Draw 14.3% Swindon Town 56.3%

Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 96%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Swindon Town win at 56.3%.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Milton Keynes Dons win

29.4%

1X2 model probability

Draw

14.3%

1X2 model probability

Swindon Town win

56.3%

1X2 model probability

Milton Keynes Dons

Form 0-0-1 Goals 1:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 4

Swindon Town

Form 0-0-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 3

📈 Probability Breakdown

Milton Keynes Dons win29.4%

Draw14.3%

Swindon Town win56.3%

Over 1.5 goals99.7%

Over 2.5 goals98.5%

Over 3.5 goals95.4%

Both teams to score95.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.0%

Over 3.5 Goals

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.596.0%

Goal in Both Halves96.0%

Home or Away (12)81.6%

Draw or Away (X2)67.0%

Draw No Bet - Away65.6%

Away Win53.6%

Home or Draw (1X)41.5%

Draw No Bet - Home34.4%

Home Win28.1%

Draw13.5%

Exactly 1 Goal0.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.1%

Over 1.5 Goals94.8%

Over 2.5 Goals93.7%

Over 3.5 Goals90.7%

4+ Goals90.7%

Over 4.5 Goals84.9%

Over 5.5 Goals75.5%

Total Goals Even47.6%

Total Goals Odd47.5%

Under 5.5 Goals24.5%

Under 4.5 Goals15.1%

2-4 Goals9.9%

Under 3.5 Goals9.3%

3-4 Goals8.8%

Under 2.5 Goals6.3%

Under 1.5 Goals5.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.9%

1-3 Goals4.3%

2-3 Goals4.1%

Exactly 3 Goals3.0%

1-2 Goals1.4%

Exactly 2 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.0%

Home Team to Score92.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.0%

Away Clean Sheet3.0%

Away Win to Nil3.0%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.0%

Home Over 0.592.1%

Away Over 1.589.1%

Home Over 1.581.5%

Away Over 2.577.9%

Away 3+ Goals77.9%

Home Over 2.563.4%

Home 3+ Goals63.4%

Home Exactly 218.1%

Away Exactly 211.1%

Home Exactly 110.5%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 03.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)69.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home69.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)55.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home55.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)41.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home41.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)39.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away39.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.9%

Away to win by 3+25.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 114.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.3%

Away to win by 213.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.0%

Home to win by 111.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.2%

Home to win by 3+9.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.8%

Home to win by 27.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.4%

Away & Over 2.553.1%

Away & BTTS50.6%

Home & Over 2.527.7%

Home & BTTS27.0%

Draw & BTTS13.4%

Draw & Over 2.512.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.2%

Away & No BTTS3.0%

Home & No BTTS1.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.50.9%

Draw & Under 2.50.6%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

BTTS & Under 2.50.5%

Home & Under 2.50.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.597.2%

HT Over 1.587.2%

HT Both Teams Score68.4%

2nd Half More Goals53.9%

HT Away Win48.8%

HT/FT Away/Away39.7%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Home Win29.8%

HT Draw21.4%

HT/FT Home/Home18.2%

Equal Goals Each Half13.9%

HT Under 1.512.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.9%

HT/FT Home/Away6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT Under 0.52.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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