USA · Major League Soccer

Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC

Full time · 1:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Minnesota United FC 51.5% Draw 24.4% Atlanta United FC 24.1%

Over 2.5 - 64% BTTS - 64%

✓ Pick was correct (1:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

Minnesota United FC

D D D L D L

Form 0-4-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Atlanta United FC

W L L D L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:13 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Minnesota United FC win51.5%

Draw24.4%

Atlanta United FC win24.1%

Over 1.5 goals85.1%

Over 2.5 goals63.6%

Over 3.5 goals41.5%

Both teams to score64.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.3%

Under 5.5 Goals

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.1%

Home or Draw (1X)74.6%

Draw No Bet - Home67.5%

Both Halves Over 0.564.4%

Goal in Both Halves64.4%

Home Win52.7%

Draw or Away (X2)47.3%

Draw No Bet - Away32.5%

Away Win25.4%

Draw21.9%

Exactly 1 Goal12.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.2%

Under 5.5 Goals88.6%

Over 1.5 Goals83.9%

Under 4.5 Goals76.7%

Over 2.5 Goals63.6%

2-4 Goals60.5%

Under 3.5 Goals58.5%

1-3 Goals54.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.4%

Over 3.5 Goals41.5%

4+ Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals36.4%

1-2 Goals32.6%

Over 4.5 Goals23.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.2%

Under 1.5 Goals16.1%

Over 5.5 Goals11.4%

Under 0.5 Goals3.8%

Exactly 0 Goals3.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.0%

Away Team to Score73.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.2%

Home Clean Sheet26.9%

Home Win to Nil23.2%

Away Clean Sheet14.0%

Away Win to Nil10.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.0%

Away Over 0.573.0%

Home Over 1.558.5%

Away Over 1.537.7%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Home Over 2.531.4%

Home 3+ Goals31.4%

Home Exactly 127.5%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 026.9%

Away Exactly 223.2%

Away Over 2.514.5%

Away 3+ Goals14.5%

Home Exactly 014.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.1%

Home to win by 122.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 216.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.7%

Away to win by 114.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.6%

Home to win by 3+14.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 27.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.6%

Away to win by 3+3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.553.1%

Home & Over 2.538.0%

Home & BTTS29.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.6%

Home & No BTTS23.2%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Away & Over 2.517.2%

Away & BTTS15.2%

Home & Under 2.514.7%

Draw & Under 2.513.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.5%

Away & No BTTS10.2%

BTTS & Under 2.59.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.4%

Away & Under 2.58.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.1%

HT Under 1.556.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.5%

HT Over 1.543.4%

HT Home Win40.4%

HT Draw36.5%

HT/FT Home/Home33.4%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Both Teams Score26.2%

HT Away Win23.1%

HT Under 0.522.9%

Equal Goals Each Half22.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.0%

HT/FT Away/Away14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

Corners (12)

Home Most Corners82.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners81.1%

Over 8.5 Corners68.6%

Under 11.5 Corners67.8%

Over 9.5 Corners56.3%

Under 10.5 Corners56.2%

Over 10.5 Corners43.8%

Under 9.5 Corners43.7%

Over 11.5 Corners32.2%

Under 8.5 Corners31.4%

Away Over 4.5 Corners24.4%

Away Most Corners10.0%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards78.5%

Over 2.5 Cards76.2%

Under 4.5 Cards62.9%

Over 3.5 Cards56.7%

Under 3.5 Cards43.3%

Over 4.5 Cards37.1%

Under 2.5 Cards23.8%

Over 5.5 Cards21.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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