USA · Major League Soccer

Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas

● LIVE 66' · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Minnesota United FC 48.7% Draw 16.6% FC Dallas 34.7%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

92%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Dallas: 6 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Minnesota United FC

L D W L D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 15:13 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 2.17

FC Dallas

W D L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 13:15 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Minnesota United FC win48.7%

Draw16.6%

FC Dallas win34.7%

Over 1.5 goals98.9%

Over 2.5 goals95.1%

Over 3.5 goals87.4%

Both teams to score91.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.3%

Goal in Both Halves

91.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.3%

Goal in Both Halves91.3%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home or Draw (1X)64.3%

Draw No Bet - Home58.3%

Draw or Away (X2)50.5%

Home Win48.3%

Draw No Bet - Away41.7%

Away Win34.6%

Draw16.0%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals94.0%

Over 3.5 Goals86.4%

4+ Goals86.4%

Over 4.5 Goals74.5%

Over 5.5 Goals59.4%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 5.5 Goals40.6%

Under 4.5 Goals25.5%

2-4 Goals23.0%

3-4 Goals19.5%

Under 3.5 Goals13.6%

1-3 Goals12.2%

2-3 Goals11.1%

Exactly 3 Goals7.5%

Under 2.5 Goals6.0%

1-2 Goals4.7%

Exactly 2 Goals3.6%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score93.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.6%

Home Clean Sheet5.3%

Home Win to Nil5.1%

Away Clean Sheet3.3%

Away Win to Nil3.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Away Over 0.593.6%

Home Over 1.584.2%

Away Over 1.578.1%

Home Over 2.564.9%

Home 3+ Goals64.9%

Away Over 2.555.4%

Away 3+ Goals55.4%

Away Exactly 222.7%

Home Exactly 219.3%

Away Exactly 115.5%

Home Exactly 111.3%

Away Exactly 05.3%

Home Exactly 03.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away50.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.5%

Home to win by 3+19.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 115.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 113.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.1%

Home to win by 213.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.2%

Away to win by 3+11.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.8%

Away to win by 29.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.6%

Home & Over 2.546.7%

Home & BTTS43.2%

Away & Over 2.533.3%

Away & BTTS31.4%

Draw & BTTS15.8%

Draw & Over 2.514.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.3%

Home & No BTTS5.1%

Away & No BTTS3.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.1%

Draw & Under 2.52.0%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Home & Under 2.51.6%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.2%

HT Over 1.577.7%

HT Both Teams Score57.4%

2nd Half More Goals51.9%

HT Home Win42.2%

HT Away Win32.9%

HT/FT Home/Home32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw24.9%

HT Under 1.522.3%

HT/FT Away/Away22.0%

Equal Goals Each Half15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.4%

HT Under 0.55.8%

HT/FT Away/Home5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

Corners (12)

Home Most Corners79.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners78.1%

Under 11.5 Corners70.2%

Over 8.5 Corners66.2%

Under 10.5 Corners58.8%

Over 9.5 Corners53.7%

Under 9.5 Corners46.3%

Over 10.5 Corners41.2%

Under 8.5 Corners33.8%

Over 11.5 Corners29.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners25.9%

Away Most Corners12.1%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards79.8%

Over 2.5 Cards74.9%

Under 4.5 Cards64.5%

Over 3.5 Cards55.0%

Under 3.5 Cards45.0%

Over 4.5 Cards35.5%

Under 2.5 Cards25.1%

Over 5.5 Cards20.2%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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