USA · Major League Soccer

Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo

Full time · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Minnesota United FC 27.1% Draw 24.4% Houston Dynamo 48.5%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 67%

✓ Pick was correct (1:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Houston Dynamo: 1 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

Minnesota United FC

L L L L L D

Form 0-1-5 Goals 13:20 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 3.33

Houston Dynamo

L D L W D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Minnesota United FC win27.1%

Draw24.4%

Houston Dynamo win48.5%

Over 1.5 goals86.4%

Over 2.5 goals65.8%

Over 3.5 goals44.0%

Both teams to score66.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

87.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

87.3%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.1%

Draw or Away (X2)71.7%

Both Halves Over 0.566.1%

Goal in Both Halves66.1%

Draw No Bet - Away63.7%

Home or Draw (1X)50.2%

Away Win49.8%

Draw No Bet - Home36.3%

Home Win28.3%

Draw21.9%

Exactly 1 Goal11.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Under 5.5 Goals87.2%

Over 1.5 Goals85.2%

Under 4.5 Goals74.6%

Over 2.5 Goals65.8%

2-4 Goals59.8%

Under 3.5 Goals56.1%

1-3 Goals52.7%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals43.9%

4+ Goals43.9%

2-3 Goals41.2%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals34.2%

1-2 Goals30.8%

Over 4.5 Goals25.4%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals19.4%

Under 1.5 Goals14.8%

Over 5.5 Goals12.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals3.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score85.8%

Home Team to Score76.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.6%

Away Clean Sheet23.8%

Away Win to Nil20.4%

Home Clean Sheet14.1%

Home Win to Nil10.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.585.8%

Home Over 0.576.2%

Away Over 1.558.2%

Home Over 1.542.0%

Home Exactly 134.2%

Away Over 2.531.1%

Away 3+ Goals31.1%

Away Exactly 127.7%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 023.8%

Home Over 2.517.5%

Home 3+ Goals17.5%

Away Exactly 014.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)71.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home71.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)49.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)28.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away28.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.3%

Away to win by 121.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 115.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 215.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.4%

Away to win by 3+13.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.1%

Home to win by 28.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.6%

Home to win by 3+4.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.555.9%

Away & Over 2.536.7%

Away & BTTS29.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.7%

Away & No BTTS20.4%

Home & Over 2.520.0%

Draw & BTTS18.6%

Home & BTTS17.5%

Away & Under 2.513.0%

Draw & Under 2.512.8%

Home & No BTTS10.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.9%

BTTS & Under 2.59.5%

Draw & Over 2.59.1%

Home & Under 2.58.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.3%

HT Under 1.554.9%

2nd Half More Goals45.8%

HT Over 1.545.1%

HT Away Win38.8%

HT Draw36.0%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT/FT Away/Away31.3%

HT Both Teams Score27.8%

HT Home Win25.2%

Equal Goals Each Half22.4%

HT Under 0.521.7%

HT/FT Home/Home16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners79.1%

Home Most Corners73.9%

Under 10.5 Corners69.1%

Home Over 4.5 Corners68.4%

Under 9.5 Corners57.1%

Over 8.5 Corners56.1%

Under 8.5 Corners43.9%

Over 9.5 Corners42.9%

Over 10.5 Corners30.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners24.7%

Over 11.5 Corners20.9%

Away Most Corners16.3%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards86.4%

Under 4.5 Cards73.5%

Over 2.5 Cards67.0%

Under 3.5 Cards54.7%

Over 3.5 Cards45.3%

Under 2.5 Cards33.0%

Over 4.5 Cards26.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards13.8%

Over 5.5 Cards13.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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