USA · Major League Soccer

Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy

● LIVE 60' · 2:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

76% confidence

Minnesota United FC 76.1% Draw 14.6% Los Angeles Galaxy 9.3%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

91%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Los Angeles Galaxy: 4 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

Minnesota United FC

L L L D W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 16:17 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 2.83

Los Angeles Galaxy

D L W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Minnesota United FC win76.1%

Draw14.6%

Los Angeles Galaxy win9.3%

Over 1.5 goals92.4%

Over 2.5 goals77.8%

Over 3.5 goals58.8%

Both teams to score63.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.3%

Home or Draw (1X)

89.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.6%

Draw No Bet - Home88.5%

Home or Away (12)86.4%

Home Win76.5%

Both Halves Over 0.575.6%

Goal in Both Halves75.6%

Draw or Away (X2)23.1%

Draw13.1%

Draw No Bet - Away11.5%

Away Win9.9%

Exactly 1 Goal6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals91.3%

Over 2.5 Goals77.5%

Under 5.5 Goals77.0%

Under 4.5 Goals60.9%

Over 3.5 Goals58.6%

4+ Goals58.6%

2-4 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals41.4%

1-3 Goals39.4%

Over 4.5 Goals39.1%

3-4 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals32.7%

Over 5.5 Goals23.0%

Under 2.5 Goals22.5%

1-2 Goals20.5%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.8%

Under 1.5 Goals8.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score65.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.7%

Home Clean Sheet34.2%

Home Win to Nil32.6%

Away Clean Sheet4.7%

Away Win to Nil3.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.580.5%

Away Over 0.565.4%

Home Over 2.558.5%

Home 3+ Goals58.5%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 034.2%

Away Over 1.528.8%

Home Exactly 222.0%

Away Exactly 219.5%

Home Exactly 114.4%

Away Over 2.59.3%

Away 3+ Goals9.3%

Home Exactly 04.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)76.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away61.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)57.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home57.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)41.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away41.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)37.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home37.7%

Home to win by 3+37.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away23.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 220.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.8%

Home to win by 118.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.6%

Away to win by 16.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 22.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.564.0%

BTTS & Over 2.557.0%

Home & BTTS43.9%

Home & No BTTS32.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.8%

Home & Under 2.512.5%

Draw & BTTS11.5%

Away & Over 2.57.3%

Draw & Under 2.56.9%

Away & BTTS6.8%

Draw & Over 2.56.2%

BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

Away & No BTTS3.1%

Away & Under 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.4%

HT Home Win59.3%

HT Over 1.555.3%

HT/FT Home/Home55.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score28.5%

HT Draw27.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.8%

HT Under 0.515.6%

HT Away Win12.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.5%

HT/FT Away/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

Corners (12)

Home Over 4.5 Corners79.0%

Over 8.5 Corners74.5%

Home Most Corners72.9%

Over 9.5 Corners63.2%

Under 11.5 Corners60.9%

Over 10.5 Corners51.0%

Under 10.5 Corners49.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners39.6%

Over 11.5 Corners39.1%

Under 9.5 Corners36.8%

Under 8.5 Corners25.5%

Away Most Corners17.8%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards88.5%

Over 3.5 Cards75.2%

Under 5.5 Cards59.4%

Over 4.5 Cards58.1%

Under 4.5 Cards41.9%

Over 5.5 Cards40.6%

Under 3.5 Cards24.8%

Over 0.5 Red Cards20.5%

Under 2.5 Cards11.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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