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USA · Major League Soccer

Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC

● LIVE 59' · 0:1
📊 Our Prediction
Home +5.5 (Handicap)
47% confidence
Minnesota United FC 47.2% Draw 20.1% Orlando City SC 32.7%
Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 82%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
95%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
82%
Home or Away (12)
Double chance from Poisson
80%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Orlando City SC: 6 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
2-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
6.9%
Exact-score model probability
Minnesota United FC
W L D D D L
Form 1-3-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17
Orlando City SC
W L D L W W
Form 3-1-2 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Minnesota United FC win47.2%
Draw20.1%
Orlando City SC win32.7%
Over 1.5 goals95.3%
Over 2.5 goals84.4%
Over 3.5 goals68.4%
Both teams to score81.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score
91.9%
Home Over 0.5
91.9%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)
91.5%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)81.1%
Both Halves Over 0.581.0%
Goal in Both Halves81.0%
Home or Draw (1X)66.6%
Draw No Bet - Home59.0%
Draw or Away (X2)52.0%
Home Win47.8%
Draw No Bet - Away41.0%
Away Win33.3%
Draw18.7%
Exactly 1 Goal4.4%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.9%
Over 1.5 Goals94.5%
Over 2.5 Goals84.3%
Over 3.5 Goals68.3%
4+ Goals68.3%
Under 5.5 Goals67.6%
Under 4.5 Goals50.3%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
Total Goals Even49.9%
Over 4.5 Goals49.7%
2-4 Goals44.8%
3-4 Goals34.5%
Over 5.5 Goals32.4%
Under 3.5 Goals31.7%
1-3 Goals30.6%
2-3 Goals26.2%
Exactly 3 Goals15.9%
Under 2.5 Goals15.7%
1-2 Goals14.6%
Exactly 2 Goals10.2%
Under 1.5 Goals5.5%
Under 0.5 Goals1.1%
Exactly 0 Goals0.9%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score91.9%
Away Team to Score87.9%
Both Teams Score (GG)81.0%
No Both Teams Score (NG)19.0%
Home Clean Sheet11.9%
Home Win to Nil11.0%
Away Clean Sheet7.9%
Away Win to Nil7.0%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.591.9%
Away Over 0.587.9%
Home Over 1.571.9%
Away Over 1.562.6%
Home Over 2.546.4%
Home 3+ Goals46.4%
Away Over 2.535.7%
Away 3+ Goals35.7%
Away Exactly 226.9%
Home Exactly 225.4%
Away Exactly 125.3%
Home Exactly 120.0%
Away Exactly 011.9%
Home Exactly 07.9%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.5%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.5%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.5%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.5%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.0%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.8%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.1%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.1%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)66.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home66.6%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.0%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.8%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.3%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.7%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.1%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.1%
Home to win by 118.1%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.9%
Home to win by 3+15.9%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.2%
Away to win by 115.2%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.8%
Home to win by 213.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.7%
Away to win by 29.7%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.6%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.4%
Away to win by 3+8.4%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.4%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.3%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.575.9%
Home & Over 2.542.4%
Home & BTTS36.9%
Away & Over 2.529.1%
Away & BTTS26.3%
Draw & BTTS17.8%
Draw & Over 2.512.7%
Home & No BTTS11.0%
No BTTS & Under 2.510.5%
No BTTS & Over 2.58.4%
Away & No BTTS7.0%
Draw & Under 2.56.0%
Home & Under 2.55.4%
BTTS & Under 2.55.1%
Away & Under 2.54.1%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.587.8%
HT Over 1.562.0%
2nd Half More Goals49.0%
HT Both Teams Score42.0%
HT Home Win39.8%
HT Under 1.538.0%
1st Half More Goals32.3%
HT/FT Home/Home30.9%
HT Away Win30.4%
HT Draw29.8%
HT/FT Away/Away20.4%
Equal Goals Each Half18.7%
HT/FT Draw/Home12.5%
HT Under 0.512.2%
HT/FT Draw/Away9.4%
HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%
HT/FT Away/Home4.5%
HT/FT Home/Away3.5%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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