USA · Major League Soccer

Minnesota United FC vs San Diego

Full time · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Minnesota United FC 21.8% Draw 21.4% San Diego 56.8%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 70%

✓ Pick was correct (1:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Away Team to Score

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to San Diego: 3 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Minnesota United FC

D L D L L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 5:8 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.33

San Diego

W L L D W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 12:9 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Minnesota United FC win21.8%

Draw21.4%

San Diego win56.8%

Over 1.5 goals90.0%

Over 2.5 goals72.7%

Over 3.5 goals52.1%

Both teams to score69.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.0%

Away Team to Score

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.5%

Draw or Away (X2)77.2%

Draw No Bet - Away71.7%

Both Halves Over 0.571.5%

Goal in Both Halves71.5%

Away Win57.7%

Home or Draw (1X)42.2%

Draw No Bet - Home28.3%

Home Win22.7%

Draw19.4%

Exactly 1 Goal8.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals89.0%

Under 5.5 Goals82.0%

Over 2.5 Goals72.6%

Under 4.5 Goals67.3%

2-4 Goals56.3%

Over 3.5 Goals52.1%

4+ Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals47.9%

1-3 Goals45.5%

3-4 Goals40.0%

2-3 Goals36.9%

Over 4.5 Goals32.7%

Under 2.5 Goals27.4%

1-2 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals20.6%

Over 5.5 Goals18.0%

Exactly 2 Goals16.3%

Under 1.5 Goals11.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.3%

Home Team to Score76.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.2%

Away Clean Sheet23.8%

Away Win to Nil21.6%

Home Clean Sheet9.6%

Home Win to Nil7.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.3%

Home Over 0.576.1%

Away Over 1.567.8%

Home Over 1.541.9%

Away Over 2.541.5%

Away 3+ Goals41.5%

Home Exactly 134.2%

Away Exactly 226.4%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 023.8%

Away Exactly 122.5%

Home Over 2.517.4%

Home 3+ Goals17.4%

Away Exactly 09.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)63.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home63.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)57.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)42.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home42.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)36.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away36.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)22.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.1%

Away to win by 121.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.6%

Away to win by 3+19.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 217.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.9%

Home to win by 112.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.4%

Home to win by 26.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.5%

Home to win by 3+3.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.1%

Away & Over 2.546.1%

Away & BTTS36.2%

Away & No BTTS21.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.6%

Home & Over 2.517.1%

Draw & BTTS17.1%

Home & BTTS15.4%

Away & Under 2.511.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.6%

Draw & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.7%

Home & No BTTS7.3%

Home & Under 2.55.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.7%

HT Over 1.550.7%

HT Under 1.549.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.9%

HT Away Win44.9%

HT/FT Away/Away37.8%

HT Draw33.0%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score31.0%

HT Home Win22.2%

Equal Goals Each Half21.0%

HT Under 0.518.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.9%

HT/FT Home/Home13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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