USA · Major League Soccer

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City

Kick-off 21:30 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

64% confidence

Minnesota United FC 22.6% Draw 13.5% St. Louis City 63.9%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 94%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

94%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is St. Louis City win at 63.9%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to St. Louis City: 2 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Minnesota United FC win

22.6%

1X2 model probability

Draw

13.5%

1X2 model probability

St. Louis City win

63.9%

1X2 model probability

Minnesota United FC

D D L L L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 10:16 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.67

St. Louis City

D W W D W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 15:9 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

Minnesota United FC 0wins ·0 draws ·St. Louis City 1wins

Minnesota United FC 2-4 St. Louis CitySep 13, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Minnesota United FC win22.6%

Draw13.5%

St. Louis City win63.9%

Over 1.5 goals99.6%

Over 2.5 goals97.8%

Over 3.5 goals93.5%

Both teams to score93.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

Home Team to Score

90.5%

Home Over 0.5

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.8%

Goal in Both Halves94.8%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Draw or Away (X2)73.9%

Draw No Bet - Away73.8%

Away Win61.2%

Home or Draw (1X)34.5%

Draw No Bet - Home26.2%

Home Win21.7%

Draw12.7%

Exactly 1 Goal0.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.5%

Over 3.5 Goals89.5%

4+ Goals89.5%

Over 4.5 Goals81.9%

Over 5.5 Goals70.7%

Total Goals Odd47.8%

Total Goals Even47.8%

Under 5.5 Goals29.3%

Under 4.5 Goals18.1%

2-4 Goals13.2%

3-4 Goals11.6%

Under 3.5 Goals10.5%

Under 2.5 Goals6.5%

1-3 Goals6.1%

2-3 Goals5.7%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 3 Goals4.1%

1-2 Goals2.1%

Exactly 2 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.6%

Home Team to Score90.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.5%

Away Clean Sheet5.1%

Away Win to Nil5.1%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.6%

Home Over 0.590.5%

Away Over 1.589.6%

Away Over 2.578.4%

Away 3+ Goals78.4%

Home Over 1.575.5%

Home Over 2.553.5%

Home 3+ Goals53.5%

Home Exactly 222.0%

Home Exactly 115.0%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 05.1%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home85.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home76.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)63.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home63.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)61.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)49.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home49.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)46.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away46.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)34.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home34.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away32.0%

Away to win by 3+32.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.7%

Away to win by 114.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.5%

Away to win by 214.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.5%

Home to win by 19.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.2%

Home to win by 26.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.1%

Home to win by 3+6.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.7%

Away & Over 2.560.3%

Away & BTTS56.1%

Home & Over 2.521.3%

Home & BTTS20.7%

Draw & BTTS12.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.9%

Away & No BTTS5.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.4%

Home & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Draw & Under 2.50.8%

BTTS & Under 2.50.8%

Home & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.4%

HT Over 1.584.6%

HT Both Teams Score63.5%

HT Away Win53.8%

2nd Half More Goals53.3%

HT/FT Away/Away46.1%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Home Win24.7%

HT Draw21.5%

HT Under 1.515.4%

Equal Goals Each Half14.4%

HT/FT Home/Home13.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT/FT Home/Away6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT Under 0.53.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners71.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners65.5%

Under 11.5 Corners64.4%

Over 9.5 Corners59.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners53.7%

Under 10.5 Corners52.6%

Away Most Corners52.5%

Over 10.5 Corners47.4%

Under 9.5 Corners40.2%

Over 11.5 Corners35.6%

Home Most Corners35.3%

Under 8.5 Corners28.4%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards81.7%

Under 5.5 Cards71.7%

Over 3.5 Cards64.3%

Under 4.5 Cards54.8%

Over 4.5 Cards45.2%

Under 3.5 Cards35.7%

Over 5.5 Cards28.3%

Under 2.5 Cards18.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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